In retrospect on paper, the Florida State Seminoles should have rolled over the Boston College Eagles the last two seasons. Notably, the year they won the National Championship with Jameis Winston. However, in both years with Winston as the starter, Boston College posed numerous problems for FSU. I watched both of those games and remember them fairly well. In the first, if you look at the scoreboard, it looks like the Seminoles won easily over BC. But FSU was in a fight in that game. It wasn’t until late that FSU pulled away and secured a 48-34 win. The Eagles thus covered the 23.5 spread. Note that game was in Florida as well. Last season Boston College got even closer, just coming up short 20-17. BC moved the ball in chunks on the ground, frustrating the Seminole defense. They have a lot of problems trying to defend the option offense, similar to how Auburn was able to move the ball in the National Championship game.
BC ran the ball down FSU’s throat for 240 yards, including 48 from Boston College quarterback Tyler Murphy, as well as a TD on the ground and through the air. The Eagles very well could have won that game, they had them on the ropes, but the better teams find ways to win. The result doesn’t always make sense, as I think BC was the better team that day, but it seems like the good teams make the plays at the end or on the better side of bounces. That was FSU last season. The Seminoles have introduced a new quarterback after Jameis Winston departed for the NFL, Everett Golson. This isn’t the first time you’ve heard his name, not by a long shot. So, this feels like an NFL game where a player jumps to another team. It isn’t often you get a college football player that has established himself with a major program, and then transfers to another winning program. Golson has looked great thus far, passing for 5 TDs with no interceptions and 465 yards.
We can’t ascertain much from that, though. Florida State’s first two games were against Texas State and South Florida. This will be the first real test for FSU. Same goes for Boston College, who opened the season against Maine and Howard. BC mauled Howard for a 76-0 final. Like FSU, they haven’t been tested yet. After the last two seasons Jimbo Fisher can’t be lackadaisical in practice this week. They almost got bit before and tonight might look like another trap game for the Seminoles. I provide the rest of my thoughts and give my pick below.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Boston College Eagles College Football Pick
Odds provided by Bovada.lv
Florida State vs. Boston College Pick:
Everett Golson is trying to do something special and lead two different programs to a National Championship. I need to check the books, but I don’t think there has been a quarterback to do that. Golson and Notre Dame of course fell to Alabama in the National Championship game previously. FSU, ranked 6th in the nation, need to win and hope other teams falter as well. A lot is going to change from now to then, and the Seminoles just hope they can be there in the top 4 come December. If they lose to Boston College in this game there is about no chance of that happening. This is a very important Friday night game for FSU. BC is going to be hyped to be playing in this game again.
BC quarterback Darius Wade will get the start for the Eagles. This will undoubtedly be the biggest game of his career. He sat as a backup in 2014 and then had games against Maine and Howard. Wade probably seen stiffer competition while in high school. FSU should pose problems for him today. This game and the cover will come down to FSU running back Dalvin Cook against the BC defense. Cook is looking for a Heisman this season. Boston College always has a potent defensive unit, owning one of the better ones in 2014 once again. Against the run they are particularly strong. I expect FSU to give BC a heavy dose of Cook. Conversely, BC is going to make this game simple as possible for Darius Wade. This is easily the best defense he has faced. Boston College has not tossed the ball around an awfully lot in this offensive scheme. I wish I got this at 51 but I still like the UNDER at 47. I expect both teams to utilize their ground attacks. This should lead to a low-scoring game, something similar to last season.
PICK: UNDER 47 POINTS (-110)