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Florida State vs. Miami Pick – NCAAF Week 6

After wondering if this game was going to be played or not, the Florida State Seminoles and Miami Hurricanes are on tonight at Hard Rock Stadium, home of the Miami Dolphins. The hurricane is out of the area so the game is going to be played as scheduled. There is no better entrance to this game for Miami then to play it after a hurricane just plowed through town. The Seminoles lost a week ago in dramatic fashion, dropping a heartbreaker to North Carolina, 37-35, on a 54-yard field goal.

Florida State took a 1-point lead moments before, but North Carolina marched down and got themselves as close as they could to the end zone before lining up for the kick. North Carolina needed every yard for the kick to be successful. It was an absolute dagger into the hearts of Florida State, who desperately needed to beat the Tar Heels at home to get back into the hunt for the playoffs. And with one kick of the leg, the Seminoles are all but removed from the playoff.

Florida State were unable to take advantage of one of the worst run defenses in college football, putting forth a less than stellar effort. When the offense finally got it into gear it was too late. Florida State only have themselves to blame here, they should have throttled North Carolina for 50 points but looked lifeless in the first-half. They were unprepared for the Tar Heels, who quickly jumped out to a comfortable lead early. FSU overcame it, but paid for their slow start in the final seconds of the contest.

Miami is seeking a 5-0 start tonight, a win which would propel them in the top 5 you have to believe. It all really depends on how everybody else does, but a win here would cement their ability to be in the college football playoff. It’s been seven years since Miami has beaten Florida State. Bobby Bowden was still the head coach at FSU. Jimbo Fisher is another coach on fire watch after the Seminoles have looked anemic for too long now. It would have to be some epic collapse for him to get walking papers, but rumors have been swirling that this isn’t good enough for the Seminoles. He has owned Miami, we’ll see if he can do it again tonight.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
Florida State +3(-110)
vs. Miami -3(-110)

Total:
Over 64(-110)
Under 64(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Florida State vs. Miami Pick:

Miami hasn’t been a favorite in this series since 2009, a game in which they lost. The Seminoles have controlled things thoroughly. Last season resulted in a 29-24 in favor of FSU. The Canes came within four points two years ago, and then five a year ago. The idea is to come out of tonight with a win finally. Brad Kaaya is going to be the guy they’re looking at to do it. Kaaya, who is in his third season as the starter at Miami, will look for one of the biggest wins of his career tonight. Kaaya started right out of high school, jumping in as a freshman and passing for 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He has looked nice in 2016, completing 66.3% of his passes for 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Kaaya is a highly touted NFL prospect.

A solid performance while having the spotlight could only elevate his status. The Seminoles’ secondary was expected to be a top unit in 2016 in all of college football. However, they’ve been getting torched on a consistent basis. The Noles are all the way back in 92nd defending the pass. Remember this was a team who were expected to have a top 10 secondary. Perhaps they can turn it around, but they really need to shore some things up from a week ago, or it’s going to be the same story.

Then you look at Miami’s secondary, allowing only 137.8 yards per game. That goes for 1st in all of college football. Problem being, this statistic is rather deceiving. The Hurricanes played a triple-option team a week ago, Georgia Tech, who rarely throw the football. It instantly gives the pass defensive numbers a considerable boost. Other teams on the docket include Florida A&M, Florida Atlantic, and Appalachian State. In other words, Miami has yet to play a dangerous offense. Those numbers I noted above are extremely deceiving. Look for Florida State to play with some extra effort this week. They know things could get quickly in Tallahassee if they don’t show up tonight against an instate rival. I’m going to grab the points here on neutral turf.

PICK: FLORIDA STATE +3 (-110)