Georgia Southern vs. Mississippi Pick – NCAAF Week 10

Chad Kelly and Mississippi are coming off a Sugar Bowl Championship over Oklahoma State in January. For as hard as they’ve fought this season, all Ole Miss has to show for it is a record of 3-5. They have had one heck of a hard schedule, with Alabama, Auburn, and a night game at LSU already behind them. The Rebels gave the Crimson Tide their biggest scare of the season, but at the end of the day, they still have a loss to their credit. And by this point, a lot of people already forget how close they took Alabama in a 48-43 loss. Everyone will just look at their record and draw conclusions. I will admit, though, they should have beat Auburn and Arkansas. Neither are necessarily easy tests, but if they want to be regarded in the upper echelon those are games they have to win.

Ole Miss will be able to find three more wins in their schedule to hit up a bowl game, we have to think anyway. Don’t expect some big time New Year’s Six bowl, but I expect there is going to be a bowl committee who would love to have Ole Miss at their bowl game. As a result, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them at a fairly decent bowl with only 6 or 7 wins. They have to get there first, though, and it’s going to be up to Chad Kelly to get them there. Kelly has been adequate given the stiff competition he’s been up against, but if he can’t handle Arkansas and LSU, what does that say for him in the NFL.

I think there is some talent there with Kelly. However, I also feel like he needs to become a better leader. Getting into fights at high school football games, and fooling around with porn starts on social media isn’t going to do much to make him an attractive option to lead an NFL team. Yeah, Rob Gronkowski likes his porn stars and other shenanigans, but he’s not the leader of the Patriots and he is a freak of nature. Kelly on the other hand, like Johnny Manziel, wouldn’t be able to survive acting like at a professional level.

Mississippi are fortunate to catch a team they should be able to easily handle on Saturday. Georgia Southern went 9-4 last season, including a blowout win of 58-27 against Bowling Green in their bowl game. They’re going to need to win out, and beat Ole Miss today, to match that record. Good luck. The Eagles enter as four touchdowns dogs on Saturday afternoon.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Mississippi Rebels NCAAF Betting Odds:

Georgia Southern +27.5(-110)
vs. Mississippi -27.5(-110)

Over 63(-110)
Under 63(-110)

Odds provided by

Georgia Southern vs. Mississippi Pick:

Georgia Southern will try to confuse Ole Miss with their triple-option attack. I have featured quite a few triple-option teams in my articles, do you know what you are going to get from them at this point. They certainly haven’t been as proficient at running it this season. Perhaps the wealth of game film on them from last season is coming back to bite them. The Eagles were 1st in rushing last season and were putting up over 40 points per game. In 2016 Georgia Southern are 26th in college football. Nope, not good enough for a team like this.

If you’re a team that only runs the football in a triple-option, you better have a top 5 rushing unit. This isn’t the case with the Eagles, who have regressed from the best in the FBS to out of the top 20. If they had some resemblance of a passing game, 26th wouldn’t be too bad at all. To make matters worse, they will be without Favian Upshaw at quarterback. Georgia Southern likes to split time between Upshaw and Kevin Ellison, but without Upshaw, they went with Ellison and Seth Shuman which was a disaster against Appalachian State, a 34-10 loss.

Georgia Southern ran for just 79 yards, along with 3 interceptions between Ellison and Shuman. So there running game hasn’t been so great, and they can’t pass the ball. They have averaged just 18.6 points over the last three weeks. The only game this season where the offense looked really good was against Savannah in Week 1, which is the only game they’ve hit over 40 points. Ole Miss should be able to make quick work out of the Eagles this afternoon. Kelly will be in for a big game against Georgia Southern, resulting in a route that goes beyond 30 points in favor of Mississippi.

PICK: MISSISSIPPI -27.5 (-110)