The under-achieving Georgia Bulldogs (5-5, 3-4 in the SEC) travel to Auburn, AL this Saturday (3:30 pm ET) to take on the number 2-ranked Auburn Tigers (10-0, 6-0) in SEC play. The Bulldogs have won four consecutive meetings between the two teams, including a 31-24 victory last season. That was prior to Cameron Newton’s matriculation at Auburn however, and this season Auburn has steamrolled the opposition led by the dynamic dual-threat quarterback. Last week both teams dominated lesser opponents with Georgia trouncing Idaho St. 55-7 and Auburn rolling over FBS school Chattanooga 62-25.
The Tiger offense ranks in the top ten in the nation in total yards per game with 509.4, rushing yards per game with 307.3 and points per game with 42.2. This is almost entirely due to Newton, who is the leading contender for the Heisman trophy at this point in the season and has not been held down by anyone this season. Auburn needs to win only one of their final two contests to play for the SEC title, and this game is definitely an easier contest than the following week against number 11 Alabama so the Tigers should be focused for this game. Auburn ranks in the middle of the pack in total defense, but the Tiger’s rushing defense is particularly strong with an average of 114.6 yards per contest allowed, good for 18th best in the nation.
On offense the Georgia Bulldogs are paced by standout receiver A.J. Green, who averaged 15.9 yards per catch with 7 touchdowns despite missing time early in the season due to an NCAA-mandated suspension. At 6’4” with plenty of speed, Green presents a huge matchup problem for the Auburn secondary and freshman quarterback Aaron Murray will certainly be looking in his direction often on Saturday. Murray has a bright future and has been impressive this season with over 2300 yard passing and 18 touchdowns with only 6 interceptions.
Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Auburn is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams, and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Georgia vs. Auburn Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Georgia Bulldogs +8.5
@ Auburn Tigers -8.5
Over 66 (110)
Under 66 (110)
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Georgia vs. Auburn Betting Predictions Week 11:
Over/Under Prediction (Top Play) – Take the under here, Auburn has put up so many points this season that they are no starting to get too much respect from the odds makers and 66 points is just too high to expect the total to come in over, even with Newton and the Tigers. Expect A LTO of scoring, but the total should slip in somewhere around the low 60’s. Georgia is no slouch on defense this year with an average of 305.5 YPG given up and average of 9.4 PPG allowed, good for 14th and 23rd best I the nation this season. They are playing a rivalry game and will be motivated to play well and not be embarrassed so take the under here. This is not a play for the faint of heart as Auburn has consistently put up huge point totals this season, but this is a rivalry game and both teams will be geared up on both sides of the ball so the scoring should be under the norm for this year.
TOTAL PREDICTION (Top Play) – Under 66
Spread Prediction – Auburn should be able to cover the 8.5 point line in this one, Georgia has not stopped anyone this season and it is doubtful that they can go down to Auburn and stop Newton. To say that the Auburn offense has been explosive this season would be a huge understatement; they have been able to outscore their opponents despite playing mediocre defense at best. Georgia ranks 14th in the nation in rushing defense with an average of 107.7 YPG given up, so they have a better chance than most of slowing down Newton, but they also have not seen a run-pass threat as gifted as Newton this season either.
SPREAD PREDICTION – Auburn -8.5