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Georgia vs. Louisville – CFB Bowl Game

The 2014 bowl season rolls on with a Tuesday evening (6:30 pm ET) game featuring the 13th ranked Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) of the SEC and the 21st ranked Louisville Cardinals (9-3) of the ACC in the Belk Bowl from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Bulldogs lost their final regular season game to in-state rival Georgia Tech 30-24 to end a three-game winning streak that saw them defeat Auburn (34-7), Charleston Southern (55-9) and Kentucky (63-31). The Cardinals closed the regular season with a three-game winning streak that saw them defeat Boston College (38-19), Notre Dame (31-28) and Kentucky (44-40) in succession.

Georgia is ranked 10th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 38.9 points per game and 29th among FBS teams in total offense with 454.9 yards per contest. The Bulldogs rank 23rd nationally in points allowed with 21.5 per game and 17th in total defense 334 YPG allowed.

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Louisville is ranked 40th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 32.6 PPG scored and 69th among FBS teams in total offense with 396.3 YPG. The Cardinals rank 19th nationally in points allowed with 20.5 per game and 5th in total defense 293.3 YPG allowed.

Georgia vs. Louisville Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Georgia Bulldogs -6.5
@ Louisville Cardinals +6.5

Game Total:
Over 57 (-110)
Under 57 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Georgia vs Louisville Pick

The Bulldogs are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against ACC teams, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against SEC teams and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against winning teams. The Over is 20-7 in the Bulldogs’ last 27 games overall, 17-5 in their last 22 games on grass and 12-5 in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Cardinals’ last 5 games overall, 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 5-2 in their last 7 bowl games.

Louisville has an advantage not just with their top-10 ranked defense, but also because defensive coordinator Todd Grantham served as the DC under Georgia coach Mark Richt from 2010-13, so he knows the Bulldogs’ offense and personnel very well. Louisville had the 3rd best rushing defense in the country with 93.7 YPG allowed, and the secondary tied for 1st nationally with 25 interceptions. Their best player offensively was wide receiver DeVante Parker, who had 35 catches for 735 yards and 5 TDs despite missing 7 games with a toe injury.

The Bulldogs are playing in their 50th bowl game as a program and won 8 of their final 10 games to reach the Belk Bowl. Freshman running back Nick Chubb replaced star Todd Gurley after he suffered a knee injury in October and won the SEC Freshman of the Year award. He ran for at least 100 yards and a touchdown in each of his 7 starts. Their formula is running the football regardless of who is in the backfield, they ran for an SEC bst 35 rushing TDs this season.

The Bulldogs are a disciplined team, finishing the regular season with a +15 turnover differential, 4th best among FBS teams. These two teams both have been excellent against the spread, especially against teams from the conference that they will be opposing in this game. The Cardinals have played every team on their schedule tough this season, the only team to defeat them by more than a touchdown this season was undefeated Florida St. and the Seminoles pulled away late to win that one. Their defenses should keep them in the game against a Georgia team that does not have the tpye of offenses that can pile up points via the passing game. Take Louisville and the points here.

PICK= Louisville +6.5