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Iowa Michigan Spread Line and Predictions CFB Week 7

One of the more intriguing matchups for this upcoming week 7 of the 2010 college football season will be this Saturday (3:30 pm ET) when the number 15 ranked Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) travel to Big House in Ann Arbor, MI, to take on the Michigan Wolverines (5-1) in a Big 10 slug-fest. Iowa brings the stingiest defense in the nation with a FBS low of 10.2 points per game allowed, on the road to take on “Shoelace” Denard Robinson and the high-flying Wolverine offense. This should be a highly entertaining contrast of two very different styles of play.

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Robinson has been, in short the most dynamic player in the nation so far this season with 991 yards rushing and 1,223 yards passing for the Wolverines. He is also coming off of his worst game of the season against Michigan’s toughest opponent so far, undefeated Michigan St., where he ran for only 86 yards on 21 carries while completing just 6 of 14 passes for 215 yards with 3 big interceptions. In last year’s 30-28 loss to Iowa in Iowa City, Robinson played in the second half and threw an interception with 46 seconds to go in the game to seal the win for the Hawkeyes. Robinson has yet to show that he can rise to the occasion against a quality opponent so this will be a big opportunity for him to do so, and he will need to avoid those turnovers on Saturday to have a chance to show he is a serious contender for the Heisman trophy.

The Iowa defense has only allowed 37 points all season long and has yet to allow a rushing touchdown, so something will have to give on Saturday. The Hawkeyes come in with significant momentum as their last two opponents; Ball State and Penn State have combined for a total of 3 points against them. This should be a fascinating matchup to watch with the nation’s toughest defense statistically facing off against probably the nation’s most exciting dual threat quarterback. Safeties Tyler Sash and Brett Greenwood are true ball hawks and are All-Big 10 performers who have the experience to handle Robinson. An they are tough upfront as well, as Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez says: “their front four is a s good as anybody’s in the country”.

Coming into this week’s matchup the Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite, and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 4-1-1- in Iowa’s last 6 games as a favorite, and the under is 4-1 in Michigan’s last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Iowa vs. Michigan Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5
@ Michigan Wolverines +3.5

Game Total:

Over 53.5 (-110)
Under 53.5 (-110)

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Iowa vs. Michigan Prediction for Week 7 Betting:

Spread Prediction (Top Play) – The Iowa defense will be by far the toughest faced by Robinson and Co. this year and Shoelace will have to earn every yard on Saturday. Expect the Hawkeyes to slow Robinson down considerably from his dizzying level of production so far this season. Iowa has the athletes on defense to make life hard for Robinson, and Michigan does not have enough other playmakers to make the Hawkeyes pay for focusing on the focal point of the Wolverines Spread-option attack.

PREDICTION (Top Play)  – Iowa -3.5

Over/Under Prediction – Take the under here as the combination of Iowa’s tough defense and ball-control offense keep the score under the total. Iowa should be able to control the clock and the game by running the ball effectively against Michigan and utilizing the passing game with quarterback Ricky Stanzi enough to keep the defense honest. Robinson will take more hits than he has in any other game this season with Iowa’s athletic and tenacious defense putting a hurt on his 193 lb. frame.

PREDICTION – Under 53.5

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