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Kansas St. vs. Baylor – CFB Week 15

Week 15 of the 2014 college football season is conference championship week, but the Big 12 does not have a conference championship game. This game is of equal importance in terms of its implications on the national playoff picture though. The 9th ranked Kansas St.Wildcats (9-2) travel to McLane Stadium in Waco, TX to take on the host 5th ranked Baylor Bears (10-1) as the teams square off Saturday night (6:45pm ET). The Wildcats throttled Kansas 51-13 last week, and have won two in a row including a 26-20 win on the road over West Virginia the previous week. Baylor has won 4 games in a row including a 48-46 shootout over Texas Tech last week. The Bears suffered their only loss of the season to TCU in week 7, in a 61-58 shootout at home.

Kansas St.is ranked 20th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 36.6 points per game and 46th among FBS teams in total offense with 428.1 yards per contest. The Wildcats rank 17th nationally in points allowed with 20.3 per game and 23rd in total defense 340.9 YPG allowed.

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Baylor is ranked 1st nationally in scoring offense with an average of 49.8 PPG scored and 1st among FBS teams in total offense with 581.1 YPG. The Bears rank 40th nationally in points allowed with 23.9 per game and 39th in total defense 364.5 YPG allowed.

Kansas St.vs. Baylor Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Kansas St. Wildcats +7
@ Baylor Bears -7

Game Total:
Over 66.5 (-110)
Under 66.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Kansas St.vs Baylor Pick

The Wildcats are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a winning record, 37-13-1 ATS in their last 51 conference games and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record, 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Wildcats’ last 5 games in December, 5-2 in their last 7 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Over is 20-8-1 in the Bears’ last 29 games against a team with a winning record, 29-12-2 in their last 43 conference games and 40-15-2 in their last 57 games overall. In head-to-head play, the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams.

This game pits two teams with completely different styles of play as Kansas St. is much more of a methodical running team on offense, whereas Baylor relies on a passing game with QB Bryce Petty operating coach Art Briles’ fast=paced spread offense. Look for K-State to do anything it can to slow down the pace of the game and the most prolific offense in the nation. The more they can keep Petty and the offense on the sidelines, the better their chances of winning this game outright and ruining the Bears’ playoff chances. K-State is a solid team on both sides of the ball, and they can run the ball on the Bears. Look for K-State to make this game close at the very least, take the Wildcats and the points here as they have a very good chance of winning this game.

PICK= Kansas State +7