The Kansas St. Wildcats (6-3, 3-3 in the Big 12) travel to Columbia, Mo on Saturday (12:30 pm ET) to face the number 20-ranked Missouri Tigers (7-2, 3-2) in a Big 12 showdown. The Tigers shocked then-BCS number one Oklahoma in their last home game, but have fallen on hard times since then dropping two consecutive games on the road to Big 12 foes Nebraska 31-17 and by a score of 24-17 last week at Texas Tech. Kansas St. rolled over Texas at home last week by a score of 39-14 after dropping the previous two contest to Oklahoma St by a score of 24-14 and Baylor by a count of 47-42 respectively.
Missouri has been led all season on offense by standout quarterback Blaine Gabbert, but Gabbert has not played well the last two weeks in their losses, completing only 41.7 % of his passes for a total of 294 yards. This comes after putting up a 76.3% completion percentage for an average of 271.3 yards per game during the Tigers 7-0 start. There is hope for a rebound this week though as Gabbert was 20 for 27 for 298 yards and three touchdowns last season against Kansas St. in a 38-12 victory in Manhattan, KN.
On offense Kansas St. will go with sophomore Collin Klein at quarterback. Klein filled in admirably for starter Carson Coffman last week against Texas, running for 127 yards and two TDs. The Wildcats do most of their damage on the ground, with senior running back Daniel Thomas piling up 1,101 yards rushing 9good for second in the Big 12) and 12 TDs so far on the season. The Wildcat defense ranks 102nd in the nation in total yards per game allowed with 435.7 and 113th in the nation with an average of 218.7 rushing yards per game allowed, but they did intercept 5 passes last week against Texas and will need to generate turnovers to pull off a big with on the road against an explosive offensive team like Missouri.
Missouri has won its last six game sin a row at home, and Kansas St. has lost seven in a row against top-25 teams. The over is 16-5 in Kansas State’s last 21 games in November, and the under is 7-2 in Missouri’s last 9 games on field turf .In head-to-head meetings, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between the two teams. Kansas St. has lost four straight against Missouri, and has not won in Columbia since 2004.
Kansas St. vs. Missouri Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Kansas St. Wildcats +12.5
@ Missouri Tigers -12.5
Over 54 (110)
Under 54 (110)
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Kansas St. vs. Missouri Prediction for Week 11:
Spread Prediction (Top Play) – Missouri is a strong favorite in this game and the Tiger offense should get back on track against the over-matched Wildcat defense as long as Gabbert is able to avoid turning the ball over. Kansas St. is not as proficient through the air as Missouri, and will struggle mightily if they get behind early with their young quarterback at the helm. This could make for a blowout game if Gabbert can display the accuracy that he has over his career and not the marksmanship he has shown over the past two weeks.
SPREAD PREDICTION – (Top Play) – Missouri -12.5
Over/Under Prediction – The play to make is to take the over here as Gabbert and company get back on track with come home cooking and a weak defensive opponent in Kansas St. this week. Kansas St. should be able to put some points up as well with their ground game, and the total should easily come in over 54 points. If the Tiger offense is clicking on all cylinders they could easily exceed the total themselves against the porous Wildcat defense.
TOTAL PREDICTION – Over 54