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Memphis vs. UConn Pick – NCAAF Week 6

The Memphis Tigers had a big game a week ago but forgot to show up. The UCF Knights made quick work of Memphis, toying with them for a score of 40-13. Memphis was dominated in all facets of the game. The Tigers high-octane offense was nullified by a ferocious defensive unit. Memphis didn’t get their 13 points of the game until the clock was expired in the 4th quarter.

Riley Ferguson played the worst I’ve seen from him in his career. UCF is one of the most underrated teams in college football and rightfully deserve a spot as a ranked team. In any event, Memphis did not look prepared to play UCF at all. It appeared that the Knights treated it as a big game, while Memphis sat back thinking it’d be a cakewalk.

I think after Memphis beat UCLA they got a bit too comfortable. However, UCF is probably better than UCLA at this point, and you can never take a team lightly. Memphis will look to rebound against UConn on Friday night. They’re 3-1 on the year, with their lone loss coming last week. Ferguson and Memphis must need a bounce back performance at Connecticut.

The door is still open for a quality bowl game for Memphis, along with winning the conference, but there isn’t many room for errors. UCF is not only a comeback story, but a very good team in 2017. So, the Tigers have their work cut out for them in grabbing the AAC.

As a 14-point favorite Friday night, they are expected to win comfortably. Ferguson is not only playing for his team, but NFL scouts as well. The way he handled a good defense last week was putrid at best. Luckily for Ferguson, he gets a weak defensive unit to prey on this week. Let’s get straight to our Memphis vs. UConn pick.

Memphis Tigers vs. UConn Huskies Betting Odds:

Spread:
Memphis -14(-115)
vs. UConn +14(-105)

Total:
Over 71.5(-115)
Under 71.5(-105)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Memphis vs. UConn Pick:

Riley Ferguson took a beating against UCF, from the beginning to end. Ferguson threw 3 interceptions and didn’t get a touchdown before time was expiring on the clock. In their other touchdown drive, Memphis went quick to take a 7-6 lead, and that was all for their offense. The rest of the game featured the Memphis defense getting ravished by the UCF offense. Memphis was outgained by 207 yards in that one, including 275 yards rushing.

Memphis were expected to get gashed on defense, they have nothing left because of injuries. Nearly their entire starting defense from August is injured. So, Memphis is playing with a lot of backups on the defensive side, and need their offense to pile on the points to keep up. If you watched the UCLA game, that’s what they need to do, because their defense isn’t going to offer much resistance. On top of the injuries, they dismissed one of their starting defensive backs, Shaun Rupert, from the team after a robbery arrest.

The Tigers are 126th in the nation, allowing 514 yards per game. Against the pass Memphis is 127th, a slight improvement after all UCF had to do was run the football on Memphis. The Tigers were last going into last Saturday. Who took their spot? None other than the Connecticut Huskies. The Huskies are allowing a whopping 380 passing yards per game.

They’ve given up an average of 45 points per game in their last two games against SMU and ECU. Both of those offenses you could compare to Memphis. UConn had a really good defense for years, but they’ve fallen off a cliff here. Senior quarterback Bryant Shirreffs had had to play more of a role this season. He’s thrown for 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, doing all he can to make up for the defense. I expect Ferguson to pad his numbers against this secondary, while Shirreffs takes advantage of a decimated Memphis defense. I would take a look at the OVER for this pick.

PICK: OVER 71.5 (-115)

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