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Miami vs. Cincinnati Pick – CFB October 1st

Week five of the 2015 college football season kicks off with Thursday night (6:30) with the Miami Hurricanes (3-0) of the ACC traveling to Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH to take on the hose Cincinnati Bearcats (2-2) of the American Athletic Conference in front of a national television audience.

Miami opened the season with a 45-0 whitewashing of Bethune Cookman, and followed up with wins over Florida Atlantic (44-20) in week 2 and Nebraska (36-33) in week 3 before a bye week last week. The win over the Cornhuskers came in overtime after the Hurricanes blew a 23 point lead in regulation . Sophomore quarterback Brad Kaaya has thrown for 839 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INTs this season after throwing 26 TDs and 12 INTs last season.

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Cincinnati opened their campaign with a 52-10 win over Alabama A&M and also own a 37-33 week 3 win over Miami (Oh.), but they have lost to Temple (34-26) in week 2 and Memphis (53-46) in a shootout last Thursday night. Redshirt freshman Hayden Moore will start at quarterback for Gunner KIel after Kiel was carted off with a neck injury in last week’s game. Moore was 31 for 53 for a school-record 557 yards with 4 TDs and 2 INTs in relief last week. Currently the Bearcats rank 3rd nationally in total yards with 622 per game, piling up 545 or more three times already in 4 games this season.

Miami (Fl.) vs. Cincinnati Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Miami (Fl.) Hurricanes -6.5
@Cincinnati Bearcats +6.5

Game Total:
Over 68 (-110)
Under 68 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Miami (Fl.) vs. Cincinnati Pick:

Miami is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 road games, 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games and 38-17 in their last 55 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in Cincinnati’s last 4 home games, 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games and 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. The Hurricanes won last season’s meeting 55-34 in Miami.

Both teams have proven that they can score and have potent offensive units. The Achilles heel for the Bearcats has been turnovers, as they rank dead last nationally with 9 interceptions and 5 fumbles. The trends are inconclusive, as both teams have poor records against the spread in recent play and the under tends to favor the Hurricanes while the over tends to favor the high-scoring Bearcats.

In last season’s meeting, which was the only recent meeting between the two teams, they combined for over 1,000 yards of total offense in a game that was decided as most are by turnovers as Kiel threw 3 big interceptions. Moore has proven he can put yards and points on the board almost as well as Kiel can, he has also shown a propensity to turn the ball over. This should lead to plenty of scoring opportunities for both teams, the Hurricanes are a tempting play here as a road favorite, but the safer play is to take the over with two teams that should both put up plenty of points.

PICK-Over 68