Gainesville, FL will be rocking on Saturday night as the Florida Gators welcome the Mississippi State Bulldogs into town for an SEC clash. The Gators come into this contest at 4-2 (3-3 ATS), while the Bulldogs have the same 4-2 record (3-3 ATS). The game gets underway at 7 PM EST.
The Bulldogs have bounced back from an 0-2 start by winning 3 straight games. The Dogs have been wining lately by playing good defense and running the football effectively. They are averaging 214 yards per game on the ground, which is 22nd in the NCAA. The rushing attack is led by Vick Ballard who has 431 yards and an astonishing 12 touchdown runs on the season. The defense has also been very solid against the run, allowing 113.2 yards per age, which is 27th in the nation. Gainesville has always been a tough place for State to play and the Gators have held a big edge in the series overall.
Florida has been going in the other direction since starting 3-0. The team has lost back to back conference tilts to Alabama and LSU. The games were supposed to be a proving ground for Florida, and show that they were still a powerhouse without QB Tim Tebow. However, they look ordinary this year and are in jeopardy of dropping from the top 25 soon. The offense has not been nearly as strong as it was in the Tebow years which is no surprise given his talent. The team ranks 95th in the nation in yards per game at just 323.7 per contest. QB John Brantley has thrown for 1056 yards but just 6 touchdown passes. He certainly isn’t erasing the memory of Tebowmania in Gainesville. On defense, the team has been solid in allowing just 306.7 yards per game. They are also opportunistic and have scored some touchdowns themselves.
Mississippi State vs. Florida Tech Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Mississippi State Bulldogs +8
@ Florida Gators -8
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Mississippi State vs. Florida Betting Predictions:
Game Total Prediction (TOP PLAY) – Florida certainly has not moved the ball on offense as they are accustomed to from the past few years. The team is still putting some points on the board thanks to their defense. The Gators and Bulldogs usually meet for some fireworks and this year shouldn’t be any different. Four of the Gators’ last 5 have gone over the posted total. Look for that trend to continue this week.
Spread Prediction – The Gators have not looked like themselves through 5 weeks of the season but head coach Urban Meyer expected a year of adjustment and growth after losing their start quarterback to the NFL. The team should get it going this week against the Bulldogs as they have dominated them over the years. This series usually favors the home team against the spread. Home teams are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. Look for the Gators to roll in this one.
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