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Navy vs. Army – CFB Week 16

Week 16 of the 2014 college football season features one final game before the college bowl season kicks off and the hype for the inaugural College Football playoff truly begins. The Army Black Knights (4-7) travel to M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland to take on the Navy Midshipmen (6-5) in one of the great rivalry games in college football on Saturday afternoon (3:00pm ET). Navy has won their last two games over Georgia Southern 52-19 and South Alabama 42-40 in a shootout two weeks ago. Army last played three weeks ago, and defeated Fordham 42-31 at home.

Army is ranked 81st nationally in scoring offense with an average of 26.3 points per game and 95th among FBS teams in total offense with 369.8 yards per contest. The Black Knights are a triple-option running team, averaging 305.3 YPG rushing and 64.5 YPG passing so far this season. The Black Knights rank 107th nationally in points allowed with 34.4 per game and 97th in total defense 444.4 YPG allowed.

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Navy is ranked 31st nationally in scoring offense with an average of 34.5 PPG scored and 36th among FBS teams in total offense with 445.5 YPG. The Midshipmen are also a triple-option team that relies heavily on the run, averaging 357.8 YPG rushing and 87.6 YPG passing so far this season. The Midshipmen rank 87th nationally in points allowed with 29.9 per game and 86th in total defense 426.2 YPG allowed.

Army vs. Navy Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Army Black Knights +15
@ Navy Midshipmen -15

Game Total:
Over 57.5 (-110)
Under 57.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Army vs Navy Pick

The Midshipmen are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an outright win. The Black Knights are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games following a bye week, Black Knights are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games following a bye week and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Under is 11-4 in the Midshipmen’s last 15 games following a bye week, 8-3 in their last 11 neutral site games but the 8-3 in their last 11 neutral site games. The Under is 6-1 in the Black Knights’ last 7 neutral site games, 14-4 in their last 18 games following a bye week and 9-4 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. In head-to-head play, the Under is 8-0 in their last 8 meetings overall and 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with Army as the home team. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

This game pits two of the oldest rivals in college football and Navy has owned this series of late, and despite being the “road” team they are playing much closer to their campus than Army is. Navy is 5-6 ATS this season, while Army is 4-7 ATS, so neither team is setting the world on fire against the line this season. Navy has played a tougher schedule this year though, losing close games against Rutgers (31-24) and Notre Dame (49-39) and giving #4 Ohio St. all they could handle for most of the game in the Horseshoe (34-17 loss). The Midshipmen have an edge psychologically in this series, and while Army is improved the Middies should cover here. Take Navy.

PICK= Navy -15