Week six of the 2015 college football season kicks off with an interesting Friday night (8:00 pm ET) ACC matchup featuring the North Carolina St. Wolfpack (4-1) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (2-3) from Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, VA. The Wolfpack and the Hokies are both 0-1 in ACC play so far in 2015.
NC State has won all four of their games in non-conference play, defeating Troy(49-21), Eastern Kentucky (35-0), Old Dominion (38-14) and South Alabama (63-13) in succession before dropping their first ACC game to Louisville by a score of 20-13 last week at home. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett, a Florida transfer in his second year as a starter for the Wolfpack, has thrown for 992 yards with 7 TDs and zero interceptions so far this season.
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Virginia Tech opened their campaign with a 42-24 loss at home to defending National Champion Ohio St. on Labor Day. Their wins came over Furman (42-3) and Purdue (51-24) in weeks two and three, before they dropped back-to-back games to East Carolina (35-28) and Pittsburgh (17-13) in their first ACC game last week.
NC State vs. Virginia Tech Betting Odds:
NC State Wolfpack -1
@Virginia Tech Hokies +1
Over 49.5 (-110)
Under 49.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
NC State vs. Virginia Tech Pick
The Wolfpack is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Hokies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 ACC games. The under is 5-2-1 in NC State’s last 8 ACC games, 3-0-1 in their last 4 October games and 3-1-1 in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. The over is is 6-1 in Virginia Tech’s last 7 games overall, 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
The Wolfpack have been successful this season against the teams that they are supposed to beat, but when they ran up against a Louisville squad that has been a disappointment so far this season they went down for their first loss of the season. Virginia Tech has also yet to defeat a quality opponent this season, and they were only able to hang with Ohio St. for one half before the Buckeyes pulled away.
NC State beat up on smaller opponents by running the ball, their 216.2 YPG ranks 25th nationally in rushing offense. Their defense is highly ranked at 3rd nationally in total defense with 225.8 YPG allowed and 11th in scoring defense with 13.6 PPG allowed, but those is are hollow stats as they have not exactly faced a murderer’s row schedule so far this season. Virginia Tech ranks in the middle of the pack both offensively and defensively, but they are extremely susceptible against the run ranking 102nd nationally with 197.6 YPG allowed on the ground. NC State should be able to pound them with Virginia Tech has put up a respectable 31.6 PPG on offense, and they should be able to reach the end zone against NC State with the Wolfpack unaccustomed to facing ACC level talent so far this season. The call here is to take the over on what should be a very reachable total for the two teams.