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Northwestern vs. Purdue – CFB Week 13

The Big 10 Saturday afternoon game (12:00 pm ET) game that may not have the highest Q rating but may have some of the most favorable odds on the board for week 13 of the 2014 season features a pair of underachieving teams that are looking to finish strong in 2014 and head into 2015. The Northwestern Wildcats (4-6) travel to Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN to take on the host Purdue Boilermakers (3-7) in nationally televised matchup. The Wildcats shocked Notre Dame 43-40 in overtime last week in South Bend in an exciting comeback win that kept the postseason hopes alive for head coach Pat Fitzgerald’s crew. They also own an impressive 20-14 over Wisconsin in Madison. The Boilermakers had a bye last week and come into the game with a 4 game losing streak against the heavyweights of the Big 10 in Wisconsin, Michigan St., Nebraska and Minnesota.

Northwestern is ranked 109th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 20.5 points per game and 110th among FBS teams in total offense with 345.1 yards per contest The Wildcats rank 47th nationally in points allowed with 24.1 per game and 57th in total defense 386.1 YPG allowed.

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Purdue is ranked 85th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 25.6 PPG scored and 108th among FBS teams in total offense with 347.2 YPG.The Boilermakers rank 97th nationally in points allowed with 31.9 per game and 83rd in total defense 422 YPG allowed

Northwestern vs. Purdue Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Northwestern Wildcats +1
@ Purdue Boilermakers -1

Game Total:
Over 51.5 (-110)
Under 51.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Northwestern vs Purdue Pick

The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 10-3 in the Wildcats’ last 13 conference games, 13-4 in their last 17 games overall and 21-7 in their last 28 games on grass. The under is 4-1-1 in the Boilermakers last 6 games following a bye week and 5-2 in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. In head-to-head play the road team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

The Wildcats have been relatively impressive on the road this season with their wins over the Badgers and Fighting Irish as well as a 29-6 win at Penn St. The Boilermakers have not won at Ross-Ade Stadium since beating Indiana in 2012, and have dropped 7 straight and 11 of their last 12 home conference matchups. During their recent 4 game losing streak they have allowed 38.3 PPG, almost 7 points higher than their already dismal average. Northwestern has had dismal offensive production this season, but last week the Wildcats put up a season-high 547 yards. They should be able to continue their success against one of the worst defenses in the conference and the nation. The Wildcats have incentive to finish strong, as they need to win their last two winnable games to reach bowl eligibility. They should be able to win this one on the road, take Northwestern here.

PICK= Northwestern + 1