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Ohio University vs. Miami (OH.) – CFB Week 14

Week 14 of the 2014 college football season starts a busy Rivalry Week off with a MAC Tuesday night game (7:00 pm ET) that has the eyes of the entire CFB gambling universe focused on it. The Ohio University Bobcats (5-6) travel to Fred C. Yeager Stadium in Oxford, OH to take on the host Miami (OH.) Redhawks (2-9) in a MAC-tion mid-week tilt. The Bobcats lost 21-14 at home to Northern Illinois last week in a game that we correctly picked in this blog. The Bobcats have lost 4 of their last 6 games overall, dropping decisions to Central Michigan, Bowling Green and Western Michigan. Miami of Ohio had a bye last week, but the Redhawks have lost their last two games to Western Michigan 41-10 and Central Michigan 34-27.

Ohio University is ranked 113th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 20.2 points per game and 86th among FBS teams in total offense with 371.8 yards per contest. Ohio U averages 162.7 YPG on the ground and 209.1 YPG passing this season. The Bobcats rank 58th nationally in points allowed with 25.2 per game and 69th in total defense 401.4 YPG allowed.

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Miami (OH.) is ranked 100th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 22.5 PPG scored and 80th among FBS teams in total offense with 380.6 YPG.The Redhawks rank 100th nationally in points allowed with 32.5 per game and 98th in total defense 441.6 YPG allowed. In Oxford, the Redhawks have stepped up their level of play defensively holding teams to 28.8 PPG scored.

Ohio University vs. Miami (OH.) Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Ohio University Bobcats -2
@ Miami (OH.) Redhawks +2

Game Total:
Over 48 (-110)
Under 48 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Ohio University vs Miami (OH.) Pick

The Bobcats are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 conference games, 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. The Redhawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. The under is 8-3-1 in Bobcats last 12 road games, 6-1 in their last 7 conference games and 18-7-1 in their last 26 games overall. The under is 20-7 in Redhawks last 27 games against a team with a losing record, 11-5 in their last 16 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. In head-to-head play, the under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

The Bobcats have struggled on the road this season on both sides of the ball with a stark decline in scoring on offense to 13 PPG and an uptick in points allowed of about 4 points on average to 29.6 PPG. Both teams have a poor record ATS, with Ohio struggling on the road and Miami struggling at home. Ohio U has seen most of their problems come against the better teams in the MAC this season, and the Redhawks are certainly not in that category. The under is a tempting play here, but in the MAC and especially with two suspect defenses, that is not an advisable play on such a low total. Ohio University is the better team, and they have the incentive to win this game to even out their record at 6-6 and reach bowl eligibility. Take the Bobcats here with a small line to cover.

PICK= Ohio University -2