A pair of Big 12 unbeatens will meet this Saturday (8:00 pm ET) when the number three-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (6-0) travel to Columbia, MO to take on the number eighteen-ranked Missouri Tigers in a battle between the leaders of the conference’s North (OK) and South (MO) division leaders. The Sooners, who are coming off of a 52-0 thrashing of Iowa St. last week, stand atop the initial BCS standings and they will need to defeat a tough Missouri team on the road if they plan to stay there. Oklahoma has started at number one in the BCS three times, but only one time, in 2003, have they made it to the National Championship game. The Tigers are fresh off of a 30-9 win over a solid Texas A&M team down in College Station, and will provide a strong test for the Sooners.
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The Missouri defense has been a strength so far this season, allowing only 13.3 points per game which is good for second among all FBS teams. They also have 20 sacks on the season with their top pass rusher Aldon Smith, who had 11.5 sacks last season as a freshman, back for the game after missing the last three games with a broken bone in his leg. Missouri will be attempting to go 7-0 to start the season for the first time since 1960, when they went undefeated for the entire season. Missouri’s offense, led by quarterback Blaine Gabbert who has thrown for 1,591 yards with 10 TDs and 3 INTs on the season with a sparkling 66.5 completion percentage, is averaging a robust 34.5 points per contest.
The Sooners offense is led by quarterback Landry Jones , who has passed for 1,791 yards with 14 TDs and 3 INTs and a 67.4 completion percentage on the year, and running back DeMarco Murray who has run for 663 yards and 11 TDs in 2010. The offense is unlikely to duplicate its performance of a week ago however, when they outgained Iowa St. in yardage 672-183, against a formidable Tiger defense.
Oklahoma has won seven straight over Missouri, and 19 out of the last 20. This is their first meeting since the 2008 Big 12 Championship Game, won handily by Oklahoma 62-21. Oklahoma comes into this contest 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Missouri is 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games when playing a team with a winning record. The under is 5-1 in the Sooners last 6 road games, and it is 5-2 in Missouri’s last 7 games overall.
Oklahoma vs. Missouri Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Oklahoma Sooners -3
@ Missouri Tigers +3
Over 52.5 (110)
Under 52.5 (110)
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Oklahoma vs. Missouri Betting Predictions Week 8 Game:
Spread Prediction (Top Play) – Oklahoma should prevail on the road in Columbia but it will not be easy against the Tigers stout defense. In the end, Oklahoma has the playmakers necessary to make it 20 out of the last 21 against Missouri, and they should squeak by but this game will be close all the way through. Oklahoma’s ability to pound the ball on the ground and control the clock should allow them to control the game late if they have the lead, and their playmakers give them the ability to come back if they get down early. Make no mistake this will be the Sooner Offense’s toughest test so far this season but the thinking here is they will rise to the occasion.
Over/Under Prediction – Take the over here, both teams have prolific offense that are capable o putting up points. Despite the tough Missouri defense, the total here is low enough that it makes sense to play the over. Expect both teams to throw the ball quite a bit, and if the quarterbacks have time to throw there will be a lot more points scored than people think. The scoring could slow down late if the Sooners have the lead and try to sit on it by running the ball, but it still should end up north of 52.5
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