Week four of the 2015 college football season opens conference play in the Big 12 with several intriguing matchups. One of the better plays on the board is a matchup featuring the 24th ranked Oklahoma St. Cowboys (3-0) traveling to Darrell Royal Stadium in Austin, TX to take on their rivals to the south the Texas Longhorns (1-2) on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm ET. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between the two teams in Austin, and the road team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings between OSU and Texas.
Oklahoma St. opened the season with a 24-13 win on the road against Central Michigan, and followed it up with a pair of home wins over Central Arkansas (32-8) in week two and a 69-14 win over Texas-San Antonio last week. OSU quarterback Mason Rudolph has thrown for 947 yards, 5 TDs and 1 INT on the season, and is backed up by the 8th ranked scoring defense in the nation allowing only 11.7 points per game.
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Texas opened their campaign with a dreadful 38-3 loss to Notre Dame in South Bend, and followed it up with a 42-28 win at home over Rice in week two to notch their first win of the season. Last week they took a step backward with a 45-44 shootout loss to Cal at home last week. The Longhorns are averaging 463.5 yards and seven explosive plays since giving assistant coach Jay Norvell the play-calling duties and Jerrod Heard the starting QB job after a terrible performance in the opener against Notre Dame that saw them accumulate only 163 yards on offense.
Oklahoma St. vs. Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Oklahoma St. Cowboys -3
@Texas Longhorns +3
Over 59 (-110)
Under 59 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Oklahoma St. vs. Texas Pick:
Oklahoma St. is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 6-2 in OSU’s last 8 games on fieldturf, 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record and but the over 20-8 is in their last 28 September games. The under is 11-5 in the Longhorn’s last 16 home games, 17-7 in their last 24 games overall and 12-5 in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record.
Oklahoma St. comes into the game with momentum after rolling to easy wins in their last two games against over-matched opponents. Texas has shown that their offense has some life after all since dual-threat QB Jerrod Heard has taken the reins under center. OSU has been explosive on offense this season and their defense has had strong performances against inferior competition. OSU has a track record of taking care of business against weaker teams under head coach Mike Gundy, they have won 40 of its last 45 games against unranked opponents.Texas has shown improvement under Heard, but they still have a long way to go. The trends both for OSU and for the road team in this series are favorable, tilting the scales further in OSU’s favor. Take OSU and lay the points here.