The Oklahoma State Cowboys take their high-flying offense into Austin, Texas to take on the Longhorns who are in the midst of one of their worst seasons in recent memory. Dating back to 2000, the Longhorns are a perfect 10-0 against their Big 12 rivals. But, a measure of revenge may be on the mind of the Cowboys after a 41-14 shellacking last year at home. Texas had a 21-point second quarter and followed it up with 17 in the third and forced 4 Cowboy interceptions in the loss. That was all fine and dandy then, but this is now. The Longhorns are 4-5 and coming off of three straight losses—all to teams that wouldn’t have been given a chance to beat them at the start of the year. This year, the Cowboys feature a 3rd ranked offense (in a slew of categories) and confidence is high after a 55-28 drubbing of Baylor (who beat Texas) last week.
Is this year the year the Cowboys break through and finally beat Texas? The simple answer would be yes. The Cowboys have confidence, the offense is flying, they hammered a Baylor team that beat Texas in Austin and all streaks come to an end. But, there could come a question about the Oklahoma State offense versus the Texas defense. The Longhorn defense is 5th nationally in yards per game and 2nd against the pass. If the Cowboys are to make things happen, it could come on the legs of running back Kendall Hunter. Hunter has 1240 total yards and 14 touchdowns. He’ll be looking to impress after last weeks tame effort of 66 yards against Baylor (although he did have two touchdowns). If Hunter can get things going in the ground game to open up the pass, then the Cowboys have a real chance at finally breaking their bad streak against Texas.
The Texas Longhorns. Only a few years removed from winning the national championship and the season has come to this. The Longhorns are 4-5 with three home losses under their belt. Names like Baylor, Iowa State and Kansas State usually aren’t victorious over UT in football. But, that is what has happened. Losing five players on offense isn’t a positive but it isn’t the reason that their unit ranks so low nationally. The ‘Horns are 91st in points per game and 79th in rushing. That’s right: mighty Texas is 79th nationally in rush yards per game. A glance at the last three games shows the kind of form the offense—and team in general— is in. Here it is: 28-21 home loss to Iowa State. 30-22 home loss to Baylor. 39-14 loss away to Kansas State. It’d need a remarkable turnaround against Oklahoma State (who is better than all of them) to break this hex. It’s just not likely to happen.
Oklahoma State vs. Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Oklahoma State -5.5
@ Texas +5.5
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Oklahoma State vs. Texas Prediction for Week 11:
Spread Prediction (Top Play) –Without getting into too many numbers and facts and figures, let’s just put it as best as we can: right now, Oklahoma State is a better football team then Texas. The Cowboys have confidence; a good offensive balance and they can score. The Longhorns don’t have confidence (they’ve lost three in-a-row), don’t have a good pass offense or pass defense and can’t score. Texas’ domination over Oklahoma State should come to an end barring any bizarre twists of fate.
Spread Prediction = Oklahoma State -5.5
Game Total Prediction –Texas’ defense, always on the field with an anemic offense, could tire throughout. But, the Oklahoma State defense is vulnerable enough for a Longhorn drive or two. With that, the Texas defense should have ample rest and play up to their top 5 defensive billing. We don’t expect Oklahoma State to run roughshod and tack on a ton of points. We’ll say the Under here given this statistic: the Under is 6-2 in the last 8 Texas home games.
Total Prediction = Under 56