In what might be one of the most entertaining games of the day, the Texas Tech Red Raiders welcome the Oklahoma Sooners to Lubbock, Texas for a Big-12 matchup. Texas Tech is coming off a less than impressive effort against West Virginia at home, botching an opportunity to hand the Mountaineer’s their first loss of the season. That has been the case for Texas Tech ever since Mike Leach was fired. They have been unable to win big games against good teams. Well, here is another opportunity for the Red Raiders to dispatch a good team at home. I had West Virginia last Saturday and expected Texas Tech to struggle, everything went according to plan in that case. It’s the second year that the Red Raiders struggled against West Virginia’s defense.
Texas Tech has been able to slice through the majority of defenses they’ve faced over the last two years, but the Mountaineers have proven to be a test they can’t handle. Luckily they won’t have to deal with them again this year. The Red Raiders have been dealing with a shoulder injury to their star quarterback, Pat Mahomes. Mahomes is a treat to watch, but he has been dealing with a bum shoulder the last few weeks. He will be getting the start tonight against Oklahoma.
Mahomes has been one of the most prolific passers in the country. He has passed for the most yards in the country with 2,579 yards. Mahomes is also 2nd with 21 touchdowns. He has tossed 21 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions, and all of this is despite a slow game against West Virginia a week ago. Texas Tech is hoping that the hiccup is out of the way now. Texas Tech will be going opposite another gunslinger tonight. Baker Mayfield of the Sooners has found his groove and coming around after a slow start to the season.
The slow start doomed Oklahoma’s chances at reaching the playoff. They are still very well alive in the Big-12, though. Mayfield has passed for 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, which he will undoubtedly add to in a big way against the anemic Texas Tech defense. Neither program has a quality defense to lean on, so expect plenty of points put on the board. If you like big plays, this is going to be the game for you.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF Betting Odds:
vs. Texas Tech +14(-110)
Odds provided by Bovada.lv
Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech Pick:
Texas Tech has to get a few stops in this game to win here. However, I would be surprised if we see the punter very often. Likewise, we probably won’t see the Texas Tech punter either. There is a reason why this total is set at 84 points. I already talked about the elite level Mahomes has been playing at this season. The offense has a whole has averaged 605 yards per game, which is 2nd in the FBS. They’ve also scored an average of 48.8 points a game. This is all after they had a down week against West Virginia.
I expect Mahomes to pick on true freshman cornerback Jordan Parker. The Oklahoma secondary has struggled to slow down pass-happy offenses this season. Look no further than the TCU Horned Frogs, when Kenny Hill was able to find receivers behind the secondary throughout the game. Oklahoma has allowed 277.3 passing yards a game, 107th in college football. Mahomes should be able to eclipse 300 yards in his sleep tonight. The Sooners are surrendering 33 points per game.
Texas Tech should hit the high 30’s at the very least against Oklahoma. Not many people are questioning the ability of the Red Raiders to score in this game, but they are huge question marks about their defense. Question marks with an explanation point wondering what in the world they’re doing on defense. Texas Tech is 116th in yards given up per game, and are also allowing 40.2 points a game. Oklahoma running back Samaje Perine is going to be absent for this one, but they probably won’t need him. I still don’t like laying this many points on Oklahoma in Lubbock. Not with their secondary playing against this high-octane Texas Tech offense. The Red Raiders should look better after dropping a beat against West Virginia. The points look very attractive, in a game which should end with a final of 53-42 or thereabouts.
PICK: TEXAS TECH +14 (-110)