The Pac-12 Saturday afternoon game (3:00 pm ET) game that provides the most enticing betting line is a rivalry game that pits two Bay-area programs that are headed in different directions. The Stanford Cardinal (5-5) travel to Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA to take on the host California Golden Bears (5-5) in in the 117th installment of “The Big Game”. The Cardinal has dropped their last two games to Utah (20-17) at home last week and on the road to Oregon (45-16) the previous week. The Golden Bears were a 38-30 loser at USC last Thursday night, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games all in conference play. Cal is 3-5 in the Pac-12 this season, with wins over Colorado (59-56), Washington St. (60-59) and Oregon St. (45-31).
Stanford is ranked 96th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 23.9 points per game and 82nd among FBS teams in total offense with 378.4 yards per contest The Cardinal rank 7th nationally in points allowed with 16.5 per game and 4th in total defense 277.7 YPG allowed.
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California is ranked 9th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 40.7 PPG scored and 12th among FBS teams in total offense with 496.6 YPG.The Golden Bears rank 121st nationally in points allowed with 39.7per game and 124th in total defense 518.3 YPG allowed
Stanford vs. California Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Stanford Cardinal -6
@ California Golden Bears +6
Over 56.5 (-110)
Under 56.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Stanford vs California Pick
The Cardinal are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, -5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games. The under is 14-4 in the Cardinal’s last 18 games overall, 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 43-19-1 in their last 63 games following a ATS loss. The over is 5-2 in Golden Bears last 7 games on fieldturf and 5-2 in their last 7 games following a ATS win. In head-to-head play, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. In last season’s meeting, Stanford clinched a berth in the Pac-12 Championship Game when Kevin Hogan threw 4 of his career-high 5 TDs to Ty Montgomery in a 63-13 win. Stanford leads the all-time series 59-46-11.
The Cardinal have the Pac-12’s best defense in terms of points allowed by a wide margin, and Cal has the worst defense in terms of total defense also by a wide margin. The Bears began the season 4-1, before their recent slide, and have shown tremendous overall improvement under second year head coach Sonny Dykes and his “Bear-raid” offense that has been among the most productive in the nation. The Stanford offense has struggled mightily this season, and they have failed to produce a 100-yard rusher in 2014 after having nine 100-yard rushers last season. The Cardinal do not figure to put up many points even against the woeful Cal defense, and Cal has not seen a defense the caliber of Stanford’s this year. With both teams in the midst of a slide and neither having a strong trend against the spread, the play here is the total. With Stanford having a strong defense and a weak offense this should be a relatively low-scoring game. Take the UNDER here.