The Steelers will head to Buffalo to take on the Bills on Sunday. Many believe this will be a blowout win for the Steelers, but I say not so fast. Ryan Fitzpatrick has led the Bills to consecutive wins and has been playing as good as a Bills QB has played since Bledsoe. The Bills defense has also been pretty good against the pass so Roethlisberger won’t be able to throw the ball all over the field. The Steelers are still physical and great against the run, while they aren’t as dominate as they usually are, they are still pretty good and will look to hit Fitzpatrick all day and establish a running game. Game is set to start 1:00 PM EST
The Steelers have been a shell of themselves lately and the beat down of the Raiders showed me that the Raiders are pretenders and not that the Steelers are dominant. The Steelers are great at shutting down the run 1st in the league actually so that shows you just how good they are. The Steelers aren’t very good against the pass and the Bills will be certain to exploit that if they can’t stop it. The Steelers are 21st in the league in passing, but that number may be slightly skewed due to the games Roethlisberger missed. The Steelers will have to take advantage of the Bills poor run defense to try and win this game. Pittsburgh is a great team, but to be considered elite you have to beat the team you’re expected to. Pittsburgh has to take the Bills out early and stay aggressive because they have proven they can come back.
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The Bills have a QB who is capable of winning games and WR Steve Johnson is a very good young receiver with a lot of talent and clearly Fitzpatrick’s favorite weapon in this offense. Fred Jackson at RB has also proven he can contribute to this offense so the Bills have some talent on offense to move the ball against the Steelers and score some points. The problem spot for the Bills will come on the defensive side of the ball. On defense the Bills cannot stop the run, they are dead last in the league at stopping the run and the Steelers like running the ball. This is not an ideal situation for the Bills front seven, but they have to make a couple stops to win the game.
Steelers vs Bills Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (Even)
@Buffalo Bills +7 (-120)
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Steelers vs Bills Prediction for Week Twelve Betting:
Spread Prediction (Top Play): The Bills are 4-4-2 ATS this season, while the Steelers are 6-4 ATS this season. This game screams upset alert to me. The Steelers have shown they aren’t as dominate on defense as they were earlier in the season. I think if they don’t have Polamalu step up and make some plays this pass defense really isn’t as good as people think. The Bills are a bad team that finds a way to hang around and you can’t quite ever put them away. I think they will find a way to hang around late in this one. It will be interesting to see what the Steelers will try to do to put them away early.
Prediction: Bills +7
Game Total Prediction: I’m sure many of you know that Buffalo allows a ton of points and the Steelers are pretty good at leaving teams scoreless and holding teams to a low amount of points so something has to give here. When picking the game total it is important to know that both teams are even at 5-5 with the total being just as likely to go Over as it is to go Under. Buffalo has gotten some pretty good success through the air and I think they will expose a below average Steelers pass defense and Fitzpatrick will continue to throw for a lot of yardage. The Steelers will score some points in this game, but I think at home the Bills will treat their fans to a fairly high scoring affair.
Prediction: Under 44 points