Much of the allure of Super Bowl Sunday revolves around the wealth of wagering options provided for avid sports bettors. This Sunday’s match-up between the 49ers and Ravens has a plethora of intriguing proposition wagers. While it’s important to be very careful with your bankroll on these prop wagers, the idea of having something on the line for every aspect of the big game can be quite intriguing. Below are some of the best value prop bets we’ve found to keep you glued to your TV’s for all 60 minutes of game action on Sunday.
Betting odds provided from Bovada.lv
Team To Make Longest Field Goal – Baltimore (-135) vs. San Francisco (+105)
This is a wager where I recommended eating the juice with the Ravens. Baltimore kicker Justin Tucker has been simply lights out this season, and has only continued his torrid pae throughout the post-season. Tucker possesses a booming leg and weather conditions will not be a factor in New Orleans’ Superdome. Tucker is also a perfect 4 of 4 from beyond 50 yards this season, only missing three kicks during the entire campaign. On the other hand, San Francisco’s David Akers is really starting to show his age. Akers hasn’t even attempted a field goal of over 40 yards in the playoffs, and head coach Jim Harbaugh has shown signs of losing faith in him. I’d be surprised if the 49ers even risk going for anything close to a 50-yard field goal.
PICK = Baltimore (-135)
Will There Be a Lead Change in the 2nd Half – Yes (+150) vs. No (-180)
I expect Super Bowl XLVII to be a very close, back-and-forth affair. These are two evenly matched teams and this contest should produce a fair amount of lead changes and twists. To get +150 value on a second half lead change seems like a good bet for what will certainly be a tightly contested match-up. As we remember from the championship round, both games produced their fair share of lead changes, and don’t expect this contest to be any different. Both defenses will keep this game tight as well, leading to a greater possibility of a lead changing hands in the second half.
PICK = Yes (+150)
Total Penalties – Over 13.5 (+100)/Under 13.5 (-130)
Though you’d think two teams that advanced all the way to the NFL title game would be well-disciplined and focused, that’s not necessarily the case. John Harbaugh’s Baltimore squad was actually second in the NFL this season, committing 7.5 penalties per game, while his brother Jim’s 49ers squad wasn’t far behind with their 6.7 per game. Look for both nerves and desperation to result in a couple of early penalties, helping this number exceed the total of 13.5. Look for the value on the over.
PICK = Over 13.5 (+100)
First Score of Game Will Be… Touchdown (-150) or Field Goal/Safety (+120)
Though it’s always fun to cheer for a big score in the early goings of the Super Bowl, it’s not always the right side to be on. In fact, nine of the past fourteen Super Bowls have seen either a field goal or safety lead off the scoring, and with some solid value in this game, look for that trend to continue on Sunday. Moreover, I don’t foresee this game being a shootout. It will be a tight, defensive, back-and-forth contest, contributing to more field goal attempts than touchdown celebrations. Finally, teams have traditionally started out very slow and conservative in the first quarters of previous Super Bowls. In the past fourteen games, an average of just 5.6 points have been recorded in the first 15 minutes. Look to the field goal/safety option on Sunday.
PICK = Field Goal/Safety (+120)
Total QB Sacks In the Game – Over 4.5 (+110)/Under 4.5 (-140)
Though there is some heavy juice attached to it, I feel strongly that the total sacks in this contest will fall below the posted number of 4.5. For one, San Francisco starting quarterback Colin Kaepernick simply does not get sacked. His running ability and mobility in the pocket will provide trouble for the Ravens. Kaepernick has only taken just one sack in each of his past five outings, and the Niners do an excellent job of protecting their young quarterback. Even Flacco usually stays upright, as the Baltimore triggerman has only taken eight sacks in his past six outings. I also expect a fair amount of running plays, and would be surprised if this total exceeded three.
PICK = Under 4.5 QB Sacks (-140)