In a game that could qualify for Game of the Day material, the TCU Horned Frogs and Oklahoma State Cowboys meet up for a Big-12 showdown. Is Oklahoma State for real? They will have their chance to prove it on Saturday afternoon. Well, kind of, I don’t know if TCU is the biggest of measuring sticks, but they will pose the biggest challenge for the Cowboys in Week 4. They’ve beaten up on some creampuffs thus far, but have done what they needed to do, blow the doors off inferior competition.
Oklahoma State has wins over Tulsa, South Alabama, and Pitt. During a typical year, beating Pittsburgh on the road may not have been that bad of a win, but it doesn’t account for much in 2017. Pitt is bad, Tulsa doesn’t have a defense, and South Alabama is South Alabama. TCU does just about everything better than the above-mentioned programs. Tulsa does have an high-octane offense, but they don’t have the firepower to go toe-to-toe with Oklahoma State. TCU? Kenny Hill is certainly capable of lighting the scoreboard up if the Horned Frogs need him to.
The game plan for TCU changes game-to-game, they can turn into a team who gets into a shootout, or runs the ball and plays defense. They are good at adjusting to their competition. This may be one of those games where TCU is going to need to turn it up. Oklahoma State is going to score. Yes, the Horned Frogs have a better defense than anything they have faced to this point, but I am confident Oklahoma State can score on just about every defense in college football. A team with a really good secondary is what is needed to slow their receivers and Mason Rudolph down.
As it is at this point, I have Rudolph winning the Heisman. That doesn’t mean much, we’re only in September, so take it for what it’s worth. Rudolph has thrown 11 touchdowns with only 1 interception. He owns a 72.3 completion percentage, just about as perfect as a quarterback can get. Hill did not put up staggering numbers in 2016, after transferring from A&M to TCU. He connected for 17 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. However, he’s looked sharp thus far, completing 75 percent of his passes with 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. It should be a good one between Hill and Rudolph. Head below for our free TCU vs. Oklahoma State pick.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Odds:
vs. Oklahoma State -14(-105)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
TCU vs. Oklahoma State Pick:
Oklahoma State isn’t just a one-man show. Rudolph has plenty of targets around him to air the ball out to. Notably, James Washington is a special wide receiver. Washington has already hauled in 367 yards and 3 touchdowns. He isn’t the only talented receiver, though. Four Cowboys accumulated over 100 yards against Pitt last week, four! Jalen McCleskey had 162 yards receiving and 3 touchdowns. And oh yeah, Oklahoma State can run the football with Justice Hill. Hill has rushed for 250 yards with a yards per-carry average of 8.8.
TCU just got burned by a good SMU offense. The Mustangs scored 36 points in a 56-36 loss. That was one of those games where TCU had to go into shootout mode and allow Hill to win the game. He passed for 365 yards and 4 touchdowns. SMU quarterback Ben Hicks passed for more than 300 yards and 2 touchdowns on the Horned Frogs.
It’s simple as this for TCU: they must get pressure on Rudolph or it’s game over. TCU does not have the talent on the backend to compete with Washington and company. Even then, TCU must contend with a potent running attack from Oklahoma State. In other words, Kenny Hill is going to need to put together a monster game.
The Cowboys do have an underrated defense, but TCU will be looking to keep up with Rudolph all game long. Oklahoma State and TCU have averaged around 100 points per game combined. There won’t be 100 points, but should be more than 71 on Saturday afternoon. I took this at 66.5 early this week, but 71.5 shouldn’t have an issue cashing, either.
PICK: OVER 71 (-110)