Week 14 of the 2014 college football season continues an exciting Rivalry Week with a Big 12 Thursday night Thanksgiving game (6:30 pm ET) that has the attention of the a significant portion of the CFB gambling universe focused on it as one of only two games on the docket. The 5th ranked TCU Horned Frogs (9-1) travel to Darrell K. Royal Stadium in Austin, TX to take on the host Texas Longhorns (6-5) in an intriguing game that could determine whether or not the Horned Frogs are in the mix for the inaugural CFB Playoffs. The Horned Frogs have won 5 games in a row and are coming off of a bye week, their last game was a closer than expected 34-30 win over Kansas. Their only loss was a week seven 61-58 loss in a shootout at Baylor. Texas was also off last week, but the Longhorns have turned their season around down the stretch winning their last 3 in a row including a 28-7 win on the road against Oklahoma St. their last time out.
TCU is ranked 2nd nationally in scoring offense with an average of 45.9 points per game and 4th among FBS teams in total offense with 541.6 yards per contest. The Horned Frogs rank 35th nationally in points allowed with 23.1 per game and 53rd in total defense 378.8 YPG allowed.
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Texas is ranked 95th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 23.7 PPG scored and 92nd among FBS teams in total offense with 366.9 YPG. QB Tyrone Swoopes has completed 58.8% of his passes for 2,152 yards, 12 TDs and 6 INTs, while running backs Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray have combined for 1,281 yards and 13 TDs. Wide receiver John Harris (59 catches for 976 yards and 7 TDs) and Jaxon Shipley (58 catches, 571 yards, 1 TD) lead the receiving corps. The Longhorns rank 24th nationally in points allowed with 21 per game and 27th in total defense 346.5 YPG allowed.
TCU vs. Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
TCU Horned Frogs -6.5
@ Texas Longhorns +6.5
Over 56.5 (-110)
Under 56.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
TCU vs Texas Pick
The Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an outright win. The over is 7-2 in the Horned Frogs’ last 9 conference games, 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. The under is 17-5 in the Longhorns’ last 22 conference games, 12-2 in Longhorns last 14 games against a team with a winning record and 16-5 in their last 21 games overall. The under is also nder is 35-17-1 in the Longhorns’ last 53 home games.
The Horned Frogs have been on a roll this season, with the only speed bump a mid-season loss to Baylor where their defense let them down. Dual-threat quarterback Trevonne Boykin has been one of the most dynamic and productive players in the nation, and he has led the offense that has carried what has traditionally been a defensively dominated team under head coach Gary Patterson. The offense is on pace to set school marks for points, first downs, passing yards and total offense in a single season. The trends have been very favorable of late for TCU despite their letdown against Kansas, but they have had almost two weeks to recover from that game and prepare for Texas and that should give them the edge in a game that they cannot afford to squander if they want to have a chance at the CFB playoffs, Texas has been better of late but TCU should cover here. Take TCU in this game.