Week four of the 2015 college football season marks the commencement of conference play in the Big 12, and things get interesting right out of the gate with a matchup of two undefeated teams with two of the most prolific offenses not only in the Big 12, but in the nation. The 3rd ranked TCU Horned Frogs (3-0) travel to Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, TX to take on the host Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-0) in an afternoon (4:45 pm ET) affair. In head-to-head play the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. In last season’s meeting TCU put up a school-record 82 points in a 82-27 rout at home as quarterback Trevonne Boykin had his coming out party throwing for a school-record 7 TDs. This season the Red Raiders under head coach Kliff Kingsbury will be looking to exact revenge on their home field.
TCU opened the season with a less than impressive 23-17 win on the road against Minnesota, then they notched a 70-7 win at home over Stephen F. Austin in week two before dismantling SMU 56-37 last week.
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Texas Tech opened their campaign at home with a 59-45 over Sam Houston St., in week two they 69-20 over UTEP, also at home. In week three they notched their most impressive win to date when they went on the road and pulled out a 35-24 win in Fayetteville over an Arkansas team that was ranked in the top 25 to begin the year.
TCU vs. Texas Tech Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
TCU Horned Frogs -7
@Texas Tech Red Raiders +7
Over 83 (-110)
Under 83 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
TCU vs. Texas Tech Pick:
TCU is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Big 12 games, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 8-3 in the Horned Frogs’ last 11 Big 12 games, 5-2 in their last 7 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. The over is 4-1 in the Red Raiders’ last 5 September games, 4-0 in their last 4 home games and 4-1 in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Both teams have proven that they have prolific offenses again this season, just as they did in 2014. TCU comes into the game with their offensive mojo back after averaging 63 points over their past two games while Texas Tech is averaging 54.3 points through three games.The Horned Frogs have won 11 consecutive games, the nation’s second-longest winning streak behind defending national champion Ohio St. with 16. They are facing a Texas Tech team that absolutely destroyed last season, and this year the Red Raiders would like nothing more than to pay them back for the embarrassing manner that they lost last year. The total would usually be a very tempting play with two teams that are so explosive offensively, but 83 is a big number to call the over on and you can never safely play the under with teams averaging over 50 PPG each. The Horned Frogs look to have their rhythm back offensively, and Texas Tech looks improved from last year, but they still are not in TCU’s league. Take the Horned Frogs here.