Texas A&M vs Texas Spread Line and Betting Predictions

Two long-time conference and in-state rivals meet Thanksgiving night (8:00pm ET) in Austin, TX when the number 17-ranked Aggies of Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2) travel to face the Texas Longhorns (5-6, 2-5) in Big 12 play. Texas A&M just defeated a tough Nebraska squad at home in a 9-6 nail-biter, while Texas halted an unheard of for them four-game losing streak against Florida International by a score of 51-17.

Texas A&M is on a major roll, winning five straight contests due in large part to the play of quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has assumed the starting role during that time period. The junior has thrown for over 1,300 yards with 10 touchdowns, only 3 interceptions and a sparkling 68.6% completion percentage on the season. The Aggie defense ranks 15th in the nation in rushing yards allowed with an average of 114.9 yards per game (YPG) on the ground.

Texas is in the midst of its worst season in recent memory, and both sides of the ball have been sub-par this season. The offense, led by quarterback Garrett Gilbert, ranks 85th in the country with 24.4 PPG scored. The defense ranks 8th in the nation with 294.2 YPG allowed, but a middle of the pack 49th in the nation with 23.6 PPG allowed; since games are decided by points not yards, the Longhorns have shown themselves to be decidedly average on the defensive side of the ball.

The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between the two teams, and the Longhorns have won 3 out of the last 5 meetings straight up including last season by a score of 49-39 at home. Texas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record, and under is 7-3 in the Longhorns last 10 home games. Texas A&M is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Thursday night games, and the over is 7-1 in those last 8 Thursday games and the over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 Big 12 games.

Texas A&M vs. Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Texas A&M Aggies -3
@ Texas Longhorns +3

Game Total:

Over 47 (-110)
Under 47 (-110)

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Texas A&M vs. Texas Betting Predictions:

Spread Prediction (Top Play) – Texas has been very mediocre this season, but the longhorns do have talent on both sides of the ball and have shown the ability to step up against quality competition with their win at Nebraska this season. That said, Texas A&M has shown more consistency overall this season and enters the game on a major roll. With an offense that ranks number 15 in the country with 455 YPG and 11th with 295.7 passing YPG, the Aggies have the firepower to score against a Texas defense that has been very effective against the pass this season. The Aggies can shut down the Texas running game and force a mistake-prone Garrett Gilbert (15 INTs) to the air, which has been the un-doing of this Longhorn team all season. Texas has been brutal in Big 12 play all season long, they should be amped up to play against their in-state rivals in front of a national audience, but that will not shift the tide enough for the Longhorns to pull this game out.

PREDICTION (Top Play) – Texas A&M -3

Over/Under Prediction – Take the over here, Texas A&M has been rolling with Tannehill under center, and the Aggies should be good for a bit more offense than they showed last week against Nebraska. Texas will have to throw against the Aggies given their stout run defense and that could mean a short field to work with in many instances if Garrett Gilbert continues his propensity to turn the ball over. Expect Texas to let it all hang out as the Longhorns have nothing to lose and would love to salvage their season against their in-state rivals.


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