One of the top matchups for this upcoming week 7 of the 2010 college football season will be this Saturday (3:30 pm ET) when the Texas Longhorns travel to Lincoln, NB to take on the number 5 ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers in Big 12 play. Nebraska is looking for revenge following last year’s Big 12 Championship Game, won by Texas 13-12, in a contest Nebraska believes the Longhorns stole from them. Texas used that win as a springboard to the BCS National Championship game, but this is a new season and these two teams have gone in opposite directions since their last meeting. Nebraska comes into this meeting 5-0 fresh off a 48-13 blowout win at Kansas St. , while the Longhorns come in reeling at 3-2 after back-to-back losses for the first time since 2007, to UCLA (at home) and at Oklahoma by a score of 28-20 last week.
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The Nebraska offense, led by redshirt freshman QB Taylor Martinez, has been prolific on the ground this season utilizing the spread-option offense with Martinez running for 737 yards on 68 carries (10.8 YPC) and 12 TDs on the year. Roy Helu and Rex Burkhead are averaging 8.1 and 6.9 YPC respectively. The Cornhuskers as usual, are tough on defense as well and last week they held Kansas St. running back Daniel Thomas in check led by linebacker Lavonte David’s 16 tackles.
The Longhorns have sophomore Garrett Gilbert at QB, Gilbert has struggled so far this season, with 1,151 yards passing and 4 TDs with 5 big INTs. Gilbert was a solid if unspectacular 27 for 41 for 265 yards and no TDs against Oklahoma last week and seems to be improving, they key for him will be to avoid turning the ball over against the Cornhuskers ball-hawking secondary if he wants to help coach Mack Brown improve on his 7-1 career record against Nebraska.
Texas comes into the game 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road underdog. Nebraska is 19-3-1 ATS in their last 23 home games against a team with a winning n road record, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Texas’ last 7 games as a road underdog, and the over is 4-1 in Nebraska’s last 5 games overall.
Texas vs. Nebraska Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Texas Longhorns +9.5
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers -9.5
Over 46.5 (-110)
Under 46.5 (-110)
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Texas vs. Nebraska Prediction for Week 7 CFB Betting:
Over/Under Prediction (Top Play) – Take the over here, Martinez and company could realistically shoot the total over the over themselves with their big-play capability on offense. Texas’ defense has given up 28 and 34 points in their losses the last 2 weeks, and this week looks very much like it will be the third loss in a row for Mack Brown’s club with Nebraska sure to be amped for this game at home with this year being their best opportunity in a long time to contend for a national title. The Huskers will not take their foot off the gas and will pile up the points given the chance against their bitter conference vials in what could be their last meeting for a while with Nebraska headed to the Big 10.
Spread Prediction – Nebraska should be able to cover against the Longhorns at home with an offense that appears to be firing on all cylinders and a strong motivation for revenge fueled by the loss in last year’s Big 12 title game. Gilbert should have a tough day against a Nebraska secondary that is number one in the nation against the pass and ranks number four in the country in total defense among all FBS schools. Opposing QBs have only completed 50% of their passes against the Huskers this season, and Nebraska’s 11 INTs spell trouble against a young signal caller with a propensity for turnovers. This game has all of the indicators for a blowout win for Nebraska.