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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Pick – NCAAF Week 12

What a failure of a season it’d be if Texas Tech can’t even reach a bowl game. They played LSU last season and Leonard Fournette ran all over them in the Texas Bowl. This season everybody is running all over them, and when I say everybody, I mean everybody. I feel bad for quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Red Raider offense. They have one of the most electric, potent offenses in the country. However, the defense is a laughable display. If they had even just a little bit of defense, some form of a defense, then Texas Tech would be discussing their bowl plans. A good defense? Then we’d be talking about how Texas Tech is playing for a shot at the Big-12 Championship. With all of the slip-ups across the conference, yeah I firmly believe that a good defense would have them at two losses right now instead of six, which would put them in the Big-12 race.

They’ve lost a lot of close, high scoring games. Just one or two more stops and they’d at least be bowl eligible right now. So in this sense, it’s been a frustrating campaign for the Red Raiders. When the offense goes so fast, the defense has little to no time to catch their breaths, which adds to the putrid display. Nonetheless, there is certainly a talent issue on the defensive side of the ball. Mahomes’ monster season is definitely going to waste. I should add that we would be talking about Mahomes and the Heisman if Texas Tech had a defense, so a lot was lost because of the tackling dummies they had out there.

The Red Raiders are coming off a 45-44 loss to Oklahoma State, a win would have set-up a bowl clinching game this week against Iowa State. Any bowl committee would be happy to have a team like Texas Tech at their game, but they’re going to need to beat Iowa State today, and then defeat Baylor next week. Not impossible, but doing it with this defense is going to be a large chore. They’ve gone 1-5 in their last six games, with their only win coming against TCU in overtime. The Red Raiders dropped games to Oklahoma and Texas each by a touchdown. Some defense, and they would have won both. The Red Raiders will look to get the job done on the road tonight at Iowa State.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
Texas Tech -3(-115)
vs. Iowa State +3(-105)

Total:
Over 75.5(-110)
Under 75.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Pick:

There is no secret to this game. If Texas Tech’s defense can make a few plays against Iowa State, they’re going to win this game. However, if the defense plays like a bad high school unit again, then Iowa State will be right there and pull the upset. Texas Tech are on completely different ends of the spectrum on offense and defense. The Red Raiders are last, dead last on defense in the FBS. They are allowing 541 yards per game, 128th in the nation. They are allowing 307.8 passing yards a game which is 124th in the country.

And now take a look at their offensive numbers. Texas Tech are 1st in college football, averaging 583 yards per game. They are accumulating a whopping 46 points per game. But all of it doesn’t mean much with regards to wins, because they are still 4-6 and without a bowl game at the moment. Mahomes has the Red Raiders averaging 475 passing yards per game, which clearly puts him in 1st place in the country. He has passed for 34 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, as well as 12 touchdowns on the ground. Just for the simple fact he’s playing on a team with an awful defense, he won’t be considered for the Heisman. But from a talent perspective, he is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the country. Think Johnny Manziel without the off-the-field issues.

Iowa State are allowing 452 yards per game, which is 104th in the FBS. I can’t see them containing Mahomes and the Texas Tech offense, but how can anybody trust the Red Raiders on defense? The Cyclones hold the 84th best offense in the country, but that may just be enough to put up a healthy amount of points on the Red Raiders’ defense. In a game that should eclipse 80 points, a total in the mid-70’s is an attractive option here.

PICK: OVER 75.5 POINTS (-110)