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Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Pick – NCAAF Week 9

The Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to Norman for their yearly date with the Sooners. Texas Tech and Oklahoma have played every year since 1992, besides a hiatus in 1995. In their twenty-four meetings, the Red Raiders have won just six times. Their last win came in 2011 right here in Norman. Seth Doege threw for nearly 450 yards and led Texas Tech to one of their biggest wins in the last ten years.

If you look at what Patrick Mahomes put up on Oklahoma last year, you would believe Texas Tech won in convincing fashion. Mahomes passed for an unheard of 734 yards. That isn’t a typo, Mahomes put up 734 yards, along with 85 yards rushing and 7 touchdowns in total. Even more bizarre is the fact that they lost the game, 66-59.

It turned into an arena football game, with scores coming on every series. What ended up costing Texas Tech was a fumble on their first drive of the game. A lot of these games with two high-octane offenses often come down to turnovers. In that case, all it took was one turnover to flip the outcome of the game.

Don’t expect over 700 yards passing yards from a quarterback in this game, but the ball most be protected, especially Texas Tech. The Red Raiders enter as 20-point dogs, so will need to be near perfect to spring an upset. It certainly wouldn’t make for the biggest upset in the world, though.

Oklahoma knows all about upsets, as they have already suffered an upset as a 30-point favorite. Could they possibly lose as three touchdowns favorites in this spot? If quarterback Nic Shimonek goes off, maybe they have a case, but we saw Mahomes break single-game records a year ago and it still wasn’t enough. With that said, the Red Raider defense must step it up in Norman.

The Sooners are still alive in the playoff picture. They must win out and hope other teams slip up along the way. 1 loss Oklahoma, Clemson, and Ohio State, I give the nod to Clemson and Ohio State. The Sooners need to win and win convincingly on Saturday night against Texas Tech. Head below for our free Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Odds:

Spread:
Texas Tech +20(-110)
vs. Oklahoma -20(-110)

Total:
Over 73(-110)
Under 73(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Pick:

Mahomes broke FBS records last year with his passing, but Baker Mayfield put up, too. His performance was a little overshadowed by the performance from Mahomes. Mayfield passed for over 500 yards and 7 touchdowns to lead Oklahoma to the 66-59 victory. He’s been on another torrid pace in 2017, as he hopes to stay alive in Heisman talks. Mayfield has 19 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions on the year and passing for a 73.8% completion percentage. He has led the Sooners to an average of 582 yards per game, 2nd in the FBS behind their in-state rival, Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma have been getting solid production from runners Abdul Adams, Trey Sermon, and Rodney Anderson. Adams was injured against Iowa State, but should be good to go for Saturday night. He dressed against Kansas State and was held out as a precaution. They should have their three-pronged attack in action against Texas Tech.

The Tech defense will be tested Saturday night. Oklahoma will undoubtedly keep them off-balance. The Red Raiders are 99th in the nation, allowing 426 yards per game. They’ve improved significantly against the run, but they are still getting gashed via the air. The secondary is 127th in the FBS, allowing 291.3 passing yards per game.

Hawaii, East Carolina, and UConn are the only team’s worse than Texas Tech at defending the pass. Look for Mayfield to go nuts in this game. He needs one of those games, and I think he gets it here. I don’t exactly like trusting the Sooner defense with a 20-point spread, though, against a Red Raider offense who are 7th in the country. I see a 49-30 game so a look at the OVER looks like the safer choice.

PICK: OVER 73 (-110)

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