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Texas Tech vs. TCU Pick – NCAAF Week 9

Texas Tech is on the heels of yet another track meet a week ago against the Oklahoma Sooners. Track meet is an understatement. There are games that are track meet shootouts, and then there is a whole other level which the Red Raiders and Sooners were on. Numerous offensive records were either tied or broken in a 66-59 win for Oklahoma. For most teams 59 points scored is a nice outing for a win. With Texas Tech the high 50’s are not going to be enough in most cases. If the Red Raiders had some resemblance of what they call a defense, Pat Mahomes would be the favorite for the Heisman Trophy right now and they would more than likely have one loss on their resume against West Virginia. The offense just didn’t click against the Mountaineers, so I’m going to give them a loss there regardless.

I feel bad for Mahomes in the sense that he needs to carry the team and then some. He is playing in a fun offense, though, complimenting his skills impressively. Texas Tech didn’t throw the ball at all, there is no running game to be found in their offense this season. However, with the numbers Mahomes put up through the air and Oklahoma’s inability to stop the pass, they didn’t need a ground game. Mahomes totaled 819 yards against the Sooners, as well as 734 yards passing, both broke NCAA records. He also had seven touchdowns on the night. Still, it wasn’t enough, as the defense allowed 66 points.

Texas Tech would score and Oklahoma would immediately have the ball down in the Red Raider end zone. The difference in this game was the early fumble by Texas Tech. They were looking good on their first drive down already 7-0, but a turnover resulted in another Oklahoma touchdown. In a game like that with a 66-59, that early fumble was probably the difference. In all likelihood, without the fumble Texas Tech would have scored on that drive and the landscape of that crazy game may have been a bit better.

TCU got into a crazy shootout with Oklahoma too, but the Horned Frogs waited too late to make a big comeback. Down by a few touchdowns in the 4th quarter, TCU almost came all the way back, but they were ultimately downed 52-46. TCU has not looked the best since that game a few weeks back, barely surviving against Kansas, 24-23, and then a loss against one of the most underrated teams in the country, West Virginia in a 34-10 losing effort.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
Texas Tech +9(-110)
vs. TCU -9(-110)

Total:
Over 86.5(-110)
Under 86.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Texas Tech vs. TCU Pick:

How much gas does Texas Tech have in the tank following last week? Moreover, how can they get up to play the Horned Frogs on the road this week after they churned out a historic performance offensively yet still lost? I think there comes a point when frustration sets in and a sense of hopelessness falls over the team. It’s going to be interesting if they come out this week looking like a team dead like a runner after a marathon. The defense just isn’t talented enough to keep up, they’re slow, take a ton of bad angels, and can’t tackle properly. It was another embarrassing showing last week against Oklahoma. The defense gave up 66 points along with 863 yards in total. Mahomes had more yards all by himself, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the Sooners.

TCU have at least put forth an effort on defense this season. It hasn’t been great, especially after they allowed 52 points to Oklahoma, which brought all of their defensive numbers up considerably. However, TCU hasn’t been a bunch of traffic cones on the field, a major improvement against the Texas Tech defense. TCU are allowing 30.6 points per game, and are giving up 419 yards per game for 77th in college football. I know it looks bad, but after looking at Texas Tech they look like an elite unit.

The Red Raiders are surrendering 533 yards per game, 126th in the FBS. They are also allowing 43.9 points per game. I expect TCU quarterback Kenny Hill to look a lot like the guy we saw against Oklahoma, where he passed for 449 yards and 5 touchdowns with 1 interception. He hasn’t been so great the last two weeks, but this is his chance to fill the stat sheet with an impressive performance against this hapless Texas Tech defense. The Horned Frogs will be able to run the ball effectively as well. I had Texas Tech plus the points against Oklahoma last week, which hit at +14. Everybody saw what their offense did, so why are they 9-point dogs against TCU this week? The public is jumping on Texas Tech, yet the line continues to go up in the opposite direction. We are revisiting the Ole Miss and LSU game from last week. It was the same situation, LSU were big favorites and everybody was riding the Rebels but LSU took the win and cover. The same scenario played out last week in the USC game. The Horned Frogs get a two or three touchdown win today over the Red Raiders.

PICK: TCU -9 (-110)