The Jacksonville Jaguars saved their season, and arguably their franchise, with their win over Indianapolis two weeks ago and they followed that performance up with a dominant win in Buffalo. The Tennessee Titans marched into Dallas and pulled out an impressive win over America’s team, all signs are that QB Vince Young is back to form. The (3-2) Jacksonville Jaguars will host the (3-2) Tennessee Titans at EverBank Field in a Monday night clash, kickoff slated for 8:35 PM EST. This will be a game that puts RB’s Chris Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew head-to-head in an all-bragging rights affair. Amazingly, all four teams in the AFC South are tied at 3-2. This is the best division in football, but can the Jaguars really keep pace?
The Tennessee Titans are once again riding on the Chris Johnson train and it has gotten them 3 wins on the season thus far. RB Chris Johnson came into the week ranked second overall with 485 rushing yards. He would need 151 yards against the Jags to overtake all six backs that jumped ahead of him on Sunday. Johnson rushed for 125-plus yards in three-of-five games this season including both road games. Tennessee was in Dallas last week and in their second of back-to-back away from home look for HC Fisher to lean on the ground attack. The last time these teams met Johnson rushed for 228 yards and two touchdowns. Last week, Vince Young showed us that the Titans do have an adequate passing game and they can move the ball through the air when necessary. They’ll have to do the same to keep the Jaguars from stacking the box to free up space for Johnson. Young has passed for 464 yards with four TDs and no interceptions in his last three games. He’s thrown four touchdowns and eight interceptions, but is 4-2 against Jacksonville.
The Jags are back on track and seem to have recaptured their hard noise, punishing brand of football. RB Maurice Jones-Drew struggled with the rest of his team in two losses this year, but in the three wins he’s averaged 96 yards on 20-plus carries and now that Garrard has shown improvements, it will open things up for Jones-Drew. When the Jaguars can run the ball and stay ahead of the down and distance, QB David Garrard has shown he can make smart throws and keep his team in the game. He is 22-16 at home versus 12-17 on the road. Jacksonville’s David Garrard is 33 of 42 for 341 yards with five touchdowns and an interception in his last two games. He threw three TDs in a 36-26 win at Buffalo last Sunday. Its also worth keeping an eye on Jags rookie RB Deji Karim, who rushed for 70 yards on 15 carries last week in his debut. In a word, one NFL scout described Karim as smooth. He was finding holes and slicing through tackles and really made the most of his chances. After each missed the playoffs last season, Tennessee and Jacksonville join Indianapolis and Houston at 3-2. The Jaguars and Titans split two meetings last season with the Jags winning 37-17 at home on Oct. 4, 2009.
Titans vs Jaguars Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Tennessee Titans -2.5
@ Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5
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Titans vs Jaguars Prediction for Week 6 MNF:
Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – Tennessee put up a good fight in Dallas but the game really was handed to them after countless Cowboy mistakes and penalties. That didn’t go unnoticed by HC Fisher and he should have this team functioning as a much tighter unit. Jacksonville was a rare example last week of a football team that can lose the turnover battle (-3) and still come away with a road win. That was Buffalo, however, and against Tennessee they will not be afforded the same luxuries. Jacksonville is 0-2 SU/ATS the past two years on Monday Night Football while the Titans boast a 3-1 ATS record during the last three years. Tennessee is 2-1 ATS on the road, 1-1 ATS vs. division and 1-0 ATS on the road vs. division. Both of Jacksonville’s games were divisional, one at home and one away; the Jags lost each by double-digits. The Jaguars are last in the league in TD passes allowed and even though they are 2-1 SU/ATS at home it was Michael Vick a quarterback that knows how to scramble that beat them. Vick didn’t beat the Jags with sheer mobility and Young wont have to either. He has enough weapons at his disposal to wear this defense out and at less than a field goal we feel the value here is on the underdog. We will consider getting the points with the Titans in North Florida, the Titans are the real deal.
Game Total Prediction – Both of the teams featured this Monday night possess lethal running attacks that are the dominant approach in most of their game plans. These two teams live on running the ball, milking the clock, and setting up the odd play-action pass. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games when playing Tennessee. These game plans are great at two things: ensuring a quick game and limiting mistakes. Yes, we did see both of these squads put up impressive scoring totals last week but they were handed turnover after turnover. I believe we see a solid defensive game on Monday night with limited scoring. I recommend taking a look at the UNDER in this AFC South divisional game. Cheers!