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Toledo vs. Ball State Pick – NCAAF Week 9

A little bit of everything on Thursday night in college football, as we have some MAC, Sun Belt, and Pac-12 action. The night will start on the campus of Ball State in Indiana, and conclude in Oregon at Oregon State. We’ll go to Indiana first, where the Toledo Rockets will pay the Ball State Cardinals a visit. Ball State is a school who goes through these phases. For the most part, the MAC is a lot like that for most teams.

For two or three teams a school will be hot as heck, for instance Bowling Green or Northern Illinois, and then fall off a cliff for the next few years. We can go down the list of teams in the conference who are horrendous and then flip a switch. Generally, Toledo has been a consistent contender in the MAC over the years. They’ve had a great quarterback taking snaps, so after Logan Woodside graduates, who knows, they could take a dive.

I expect the Rockets to take a dive, but by how much is the question. Woodside is too much of a talent to replace that quickly. Since becoming the starter three years ago, Woodside has passed for a whopping 80 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. He connected for 45 touchdowns and 8 interceptions a year ago. A guy by the name of Kareem Hunt has moved on to the NFL, but Woodside is still performing at a high rate of play.

Woodside hasn’t been making any mistakes, as he’s throw just 2 interceptions to his 16 touchdowns. NFL scouts will notice quarterbacks who know how to protect the ball. He isn’t going to be drafted in a high round or anything, but he should get a crack at a training camp somewhere in the NFL. If he doesn’t catch on a roster, I’m sure he will get signed to a practice squad. His 45 touchdowns in 2016 led the FBS, and he’s on a prolific pace again, so look out for the name Logan Woodside. Head below for our free Toledo vs. Ball State pick.

Toledo Rockets vs. Ball State Cardinals Betting Odds:

Spread:
Toledo -24.5(-110)
vs. Ball State +24.5(-110)

Total:
Over 58.5(-110)
Under 58.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Toledo vs. Ball State Pick:

Toledo enter with just one blemish on their record, a 52-30 loss to Miami. The Rockets had Miami on upset alert in the first-half, but football is four quarters, and the athletic Hurricanes just took over. If there is a loss to take, it isn’t exactly a bad loss against Miami. Toledo are still a favorite to take the MAC, and with Woodside carving up defenses, the Rockets should be at Ford Field playing for the championship in December. They’ve also won games with their defense, beating Eastern Michigan by a score of 20-15. Conversely, Ball State have been less than efficient in 2017.

They are 2-5 and don’t have a good win on their resume thus far. Nate Davis hasn’t been at Ball State since 2008, the last good quarterback that the Cardinals have had. It’s more than just a quarterback issue for Ball State in 2017, though. The offensive line is atrocious, even in max protection trying to keep Jack Milas upright. Milas’ best year was in his first, where he threw 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Since then, he has thrown 2 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Milas hasn’t thrown one touchdown pass yet this season.

Yes, Milas has thrown 6 interceptions and is still seeking his first touchdown of the year and it’s nearly November. Ball State is coming off a game against Central Michigan where Milas was sacked 8 times. It isn’t like Central Michigan has a Clemson defensive line, either.

They also haven’t found the end zone in their last three games. Riley Neal was supposed to be the Ball State starter at quarterback but he had to sit down with an injury. Running back James Gilbert, their most established running back, has also been out. The end result is an offense that is averaging 345 yards per game, 109th in the nation. The majority of yards coming against UAB and Tennessee Tech. The public seems to be attracted by all of those points with Ball State, and in most cases, grabbing 24.5 points on the home dog would be the play. I just don’t see it with the state of this current Ball State team, though. Toledo should handle them by 4 touchdowns or more.

PICK: TOLEDO -24.5 (-110)

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