The Friday night (8:00 pm ET) game for week 12 of the 2014 season features the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-7) and the University of Central Florida Knights (5-3) from Bright House Networks Stadium in Orlando, FL. The Golden Hurricane snapped a 7-game losing streak in their last game with a 38-28 win over SMU at home, their other win was a 38-31 win over Tulane in week 1. UCF had a bye week last week, and lost their last time out to UConn 37-29 on the road to end a 5 game winning streak. The Knights started the season 0-2 after dropping decisions against power conference foes Penn St. (26-24) and Missouri (38-10).
Tulsa is ranked 87th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 25.4 points per game and 43rd among FBS teams in total offense with 438.3 yards per contest. Quarterback Dane Evans threw for a career high 5 TDs for the Golden Hurricane in the win last week over SMU. He has tossed 10 TDs with zero INTs in the last 4 games after a dreadful start to the season that saw him throw 9 INTs in the first 5 games. He has bumped his completion percentage to 56.4 while averaging 302.3 passing yards. The Golden Hurricane rank 119th nationally in points allowed with 39.3 per game and 113th in total defense 483.8 YPG allowed.
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Central Florida is ranked 80th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 25.8 PPG scored and 112th among FBS teams in total offense with 330.1 YPG. UCF has turned the ball over 14 times in the last 4 games, including 3 separate games with 4 TOs. Quarterback Justin Holman threw 4 INTs against UConn. The Knights rank 23rd nationally in points allowed with 21.4 per game and 8th in total defense 308.3 YPG allowed.
Tulsa vs. Central Florida Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Tulsa Golden Hurricane +20.5
@ Central Florida Knights -20.5
Over 56 (-110)
Under 56 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Tulsa vs Central Florida Pick
Tulsa has won four straight meetings in the series, including the most recent encounter in the 2012 Conference USA title game. Tulsa is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a bye week, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 November games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. UCF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. The Over is 4-0 in Golden Hurricane’s last 4 games overall, 5-0 in their last 5 conference games and 6-1 in their last 7 games against winning teams. The Under is 6-1 in Knights last 7 Friday games, 6-1 in their last 7 games following a bye week and 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. In head-to-head play, the favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.and the under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
There are several strong trends in this game that favor the Knights, and the over/under trends point in different directions for each team. With each team struggling offensively for much of the season, and UCF possessing one of the better defenses in the country this looks to be a one-sided affair but the line is too high to recommend taking UCF. The call here is to take the UNDER with UCF holding the Tulsa offense in check.