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UNLV vs. Boise State Pick – NCAAF Week 12

UNLV travels to Boise State, after the Boise State Broncos spent a weekend in Hawaii last week. The Broncos weren’t there for vacation, they were there on a business trip and they certainly took care of business in a big way. Boise State blew the hapless Rainbow Warriors out by a score of 52-16. Hawaii have regressed significantly, and Boise State were able to add to their problems easily. This was a week after they fell asleep against San Jose State, a game they won, but allowed the Spartans to put up 31 points in a 45-31 win. The notion of Boise State falling victim to a trip to Hawaii were put to rest in that showing. The Broncos must have had a solid week of practice after the San Jose State outing. UNLV are a team getting better, but they had their eyes set on a bowl game this season. It’s looking increasingly unlikely that they are going to accomplish this.

UNLV are 28-point dogs in this one, so don’t expect a victory to bring them to 5 wins. Even if they did it, they’d still need to find an additional win to become bowl eligible. Tony Sanchez was hired to make UNLV a bowl team, and while they’re improving, there is still work to be done. Undoubtedly, next season is a big year for Sanchez. I think there is a deadline on him getting the Rebels to a bowl game and the clock is ticking. A solid performance against the Broncos would go a long way in helping him out, though. It really is about time UNLV has a marquee game against one of the better teams in the country.

It won’t be easy against Boise State at home, who have already thrown away their chance at reaching a New Year’s Six Bowl, though. With the way the favorites are losing, who knows they might squeak in. I still don’t feel a one-loss team in the MWC deserves a spot in one of the bigger bowl games. Their lone loss came against Wyoming three weeks ago. The one win standing up huge for them right now is against Washington State from earlier in the season. Washington State are on a major tear right now, and the win for the Broncos bodes well on their resume. If only they didn’t lose to Wyoming, we’d be talking about them in the top 4, especially after Louisville lost for a second time last night.

UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
UNLV +28(110)
vs. Boise State -28(-110)

Total:
Over 66(-110)
Under 66(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

UNLV vs. Boise State Pick:

Boise State really needed a team to beat up on and the Rainbow Warriors were their victims. The Broncos will look to keep the blowouts going with a big win over UNLV. This is one of those games where Boise State is expected to blowout their competition. I mean, yeah, that goes without explanation here, the Broncos are 28-point favorites. Boise State will be looking towards winning the MWC, which actually could get pretty exciting. Wyoming, New Mexico, and Boise State are all 5-1 in the conference, but Boise State are 9-1 overall. San Diego State has the other division wrapped up, so it’s looking like a Boise State vs San Diego State final which would be one heck of a game.

Boise State are 16th in the country in yards per game, thanks to that stat-filler game against Hawaii. They’re averaging 498 a game while scoring 36.5 points game. Brett Rypien leads the way at quarterback for the Broncos, as he has passed for 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on the year. He also holds a solid completion percentage of 65 percent. Rypien has been pegged as the next Kellen Moore, and I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again that he isn’t Moore. I know he’s been lost as a backup in the NFL, but he had a laser accurate pass in college that rarely missed its mark.

UNLV are coming off a wild one, ultimately securing a 66-64 win against Wyoming in overtime. It keeps their bowl season hopes alive, but they’ll have to bring even more of an effort than last week to win here. UNLV haven’t been really manhandled this season, though. There has never been a game where they have lost by more than 28 points. Their largest defeat came against Central Michigan, a 23 point loss way back in September. Against San Diego State they lost by 19 points. I don’t fully expect Boise State to be into this one tonight. After flying 6+ hours to Hawaii, and then flying back and having to prepare, I’m not so sure they will upend UNLV by more than 28 points, a team who haven’t been blown out to that extent thus far. Conversely, the Hawaii game was one of the few that Boise blew the doors off their opponents. I find it hard to lay the points with Boise State here.

PICK: UNLV +28 (-110)