One of the biggest games in the Big-12 this week features the 22nd ranked West Virginia Mountaineers (5-2) and the host Oklahoma St. Cowboys (5-2) at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, OK on Saturday afternoon (3:30pm ET). West Virginia is fresh off of a 41-27 win at home over then-4th ranked Baylor last week, knocking the Bears from the ranks of the unbeaten. In conference play thus far West Virginia has defeated Texas Tech (37-34) on the road and Kansas at home (33-14) while losing to Oklahoma at home 45-33. Their only other loss came in the opener to Alabama by a count of 33-23 in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. Oklahoma St. suffered their 2nd loss of the year last week on the road against TCU 42-9, their other loss came in their opener to defending national champion Florida St. 37-31 at Cowboys Stadium. In conference play the Cowboys have beaten Texas Tech (45-35), Iowa St. (37-20) and Kansas (27-20) on the road.
The Mountaineers rank 24th among all FBS teams in scoring offense with 37.3 points per game and 6th in total offense with 538.4 yards per game. Quarterback Clint Trickett threw for 322 yards and 3 TDs last week against Baylor, and thoroughly outplayed his counterpart Heisman contender Bryce Petty. West Virginia ranks 70th nationally in scoring defense with 27.1 PPG allowed and 57th in total defense with 382.3 YPG allowed.
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Oklahoma St. ranks 45th among FBS teams in scoring offense with 33.1 PPG and 77th in total offense with 397.4 YPG. Oklahoma St. ranks 70th nationally (tied) in scoring defense with 27.1 PPG allowed and ranks 78th in total defense with 420.7 YPG allowed.
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma St. Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
West Virginia Mountaineers +1
@Oklahoma St. Cowboys -1
Over 63 (-110)
Under 63 (-110)
Betting odds taken from BetOnline.ag
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma St. Pick:
West Virginia won last season’s meeting in Morgantown 30-21 over then then 11th-ranked Cowboys behind a 300-yard passing performance from Trickett as the two teams combined for over 800 yards of total offense. OSU is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at home against teams from the Big-12, but 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall. West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against Big-12 opponents. The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Mountaineers’ last 7 games as a road underdog, and 3 of OSU’s last 4 games as a home favorite.
The Mountaineers are a very tempting pick here as a slight underdog given how well they played last week and how poorly the Cowboys played against TCU. Those results came with West Virginia at home and OSU on the road, and this week the Cowboys will be back on their home turf where they have a very strong record ATS within the conference. That record combined with West Virginia’s struggles ATS on the road this year makes the line too dicey of a play here. The better play is to bet on the total, and with both offenses looking strong this season with the exception of the egg laid by OSU last week, the play to make here is the OVER on a relatively low total. The betting action is trending that way as well, and with the trends pointing that way and two explosive offenses the call is to take the OVER in this game.