For a moment last week it was looking like Western Kentucky might be pulling off something special against LSU. Unfortunately for Western Kentucky a football game is 4 quarters long and they just got worn down by the LSU front. There are a lot teams that are better than the Hilltoppers that wouldn’t have held up against that backfield and offensive line either, so it was a pretty nice effort by Western Kentucky despite a 48-20 loss. The Hilltoppers did something that no other teams could do this season, which was contain Leonard Fournette. That was a win in itself, as Fournette was held to a season low 150 yards on the ground. I know, what a terrible day for Fournette – ha. In any case, Western Kentucky had that game at 14-7 for LSU at halftime, before LSU ran away with the game. LSU also had a hiccup against one of the worst teams in the country at home recently in the Eastern Michigan contest. WKU is going to face a totally different team this week. They went from an SEC powerhouse to Old Dominion this week. The only thing saving Old Dominion this week is if Western Kentucky doesn’t get up for this one after last weeks trip to LSU.
Western Kentucky and Old Dominion squared off last year which turned into a good old fashioned shootout. The Hilltoppers outlasted Old Dominion for a 66-51 final. Western Kentucky was on a roll before they ran into LSU last week, and have a solid record of 6-2 in 2015. The other loss coming against Indiana in a close battle on the road, a 38-35 loss. So, if Western Kentucky chose the easy way out and didn’t schedule those games they would have a perfect record at the moment. Against the teams they should smash, they did smash. This is another game where the opportunity is there to bury Old Dominion.
Western Kentucky is a pretty exciting team to watch, and can score in a hurry. This season the Hilltoppers have outscored teams in the first-half by a margin of 232-96. The Western Kentucky offense is led by senior quarterback Brandon Doughty. Doughty is coming off a season where he passed for 4830 yards with 49 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He is well on his way there again, as he has tossed 27 touchdowns and 5 interceptions thus far this season. The Hilltoppers can’t get sucked into thinking about LSU last week, or Old Dominion might sneak in here and surprise Western Kentucky. We’ll see how it unfolds in this early afternoon matchup.
Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion College Football
Western Kentucky -24 (-110)
@Old Dominion +24(-110)
Odds provided by Bovada.lv
Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion Pick:
Prior to the LSU game, the Hilltoppers were averaging 54.5 points per game in the last four games, along with 20 points allowed. Certainly the LSU games skews their averages down for the year, but nevertheless still score an average of 41 points per game. They also have a point differential of 14+ this season. While the running game has bene more of a compliment for them, their leading rusher Anthony Wales is averaging 6.7 yards a carry. If they wanted to run the football more, I am sure that formula would work for them as well.
I really fear for the Old Dominion offense in this game. How they keep up with the Western Kentucky offense is a question I cannot answer. After the loss last week, watch the Western Kentucky offense come out and light the scoreboard up early. So, from there, how is Old Dominion going to comeback in this game? Old Dominion has averaged 18.9 points per game this season, with their rushing attack being the only positive angle for them. However, they aren’t going to be able to run the ball because I see Western Kentucky getting up big on them early.
That leaves Old Dominion with their passing game. A passing attack that is averaging only 179.9 yards through the game. To make matters worse for them, they have to go with their backup quarterback in this game. Shuler Bentley will get the start for the Monarchs, who has passed for 3 touchdowns and 5 interceptions this season. I see this as a big blowout victory for the Hilltoppers. Old Dominion hasn’t covered a game this season yet, I don’t see it changing here. A 30-35 point win seems reasonable.