Tampa Bay Vipers vs Seattle Dragons XFL Pick – February 15

How the Tampa Bay Vipers only scored 3 points in week one of the inaugural XFL season is beyond me. They had 19 first downs and nearly 400 yards of total offense. They were even nearly 50% on third down attempts. The Vipers were able to run the football with high efficiency (30 carries for 150 yards).

It was the inaccurate passing of Aaron Murray including two costly interceptions that proved to be their downfall. The Vipers also gave up 5 sacks, which is never a good predictor of success on the football field for any offense.

Fans and the announcers as well were calling for his backup Quinton Flowers to replace him as the starting quarterback.

I understand not pulling him out of there early but it does appear now that the Vipers are aware of which guy gives them the best opportunity to win football games.

The Seattle Dragons also didn’t have a terrible showing statistically in their first loss of the year.

They actually outgained the DC Defenders in total yards, 30 of which was on the ground and they had 6 more first downs for a total of 19.

That’s 19 first downs for each team in week one. An over bet might be the play here.

I am leaning Tampa Bay because they only have to cover the 2.5 now since money has poured in on Seattle but a wager on this one exceeding the point total is probably the safer call.

BetOnline.AG has the odds for us this week. Let’s get to the XFL betting odds and pick for the Tampa Bay Vipers vs Seattle Dragons.


  • Vipers -2.5 (-110)
  • Dragons +2.5 (-110)

  • Vipers -137
  • Dragons +117
Total Points:

  • Over 43.5 (-115)
  • Under 43.5 (-105 )

I’ll keep this rather brief, guys.

I already spoke of what I would like to do with our bet this week but let’s cover all the bases we can in just the second game of a brand new league.

I watched the Seattle Dragons vs the DC Defenders and picked the Defenders to cover what was 7.5 points at the time of writing but the number made its way nearly to double digits by kickoff.

Seattle hung in there for a while but the size, surprising speed, and arm talent of Cardale Jones proved to be too much for the Seattle defenders to handle. The Dragons were able to stop the run, though.

DC only managed 68 yards on 27 carries with RB’s being tackled 5 times before they reached the line of scrimmage.

Something will have to give this week, though, as the Tampa Bay Vipers moved the ball exceptionally well on the turf to the tune of 150 on just 30 carries.

The TB defense also shut the run down only giving up an average of 2.8 on the ground compared to the Dragons’ stingy 2.7 yards per carry allowed.

More snaps for RB turned QB Quinton Flowers should open things up for the Vipers who were great on third down, put up 400 yards but only managed 3 on the scoreboard.

I think they will fare much better through the air if that run-pass-option (RPO) game gets going. That possibility, along with many others, remains just that, a possibility.

Both teams will feature mobile quarterbacks and strong run defenses. That should keep each team passing the ball which will lengthen the game and potentially put each squad in a short field situation after an interception or two.

I’m really liking the over bet here. I believe Tampa will cover the 2.5 but Seattle is at home and they looked pretty well last week for most of the game outside of Cardale Jones just taking over.

All we need is 24-20. Let’s go over.

My Pick
OVER 43.5

In Conclusion

I’m really excited about the second week of the XFL. Sure, week one will never be recreated. Fans tuned in just to see what was going to happen, how the new rules would affect the game, and which teams stood out as contenders.

Well, we learned a lot I think but we didn’t learn all of that. It’s going to take several weeks before we can determine truly which of the 8 teams have a legit shot at winning an XFL Championship.

For now, though, we can take advantage of the unknown (Because the online sportsbooks don’t know what’s going to happen either).

I understand why the point total is set so low at 43.5. These two teams combined for 22 points in week one. It’s not that likely they each score 10 more. Or is it?

The Vipers offense netted more yards than any team in the league last week. Both defenses are solid, I believe, but 24-20 or 28-20 sounds about right to me.

This game is Saturday from Seattle. We haven’t seen the Dragons play at home yet so it’s hard to get a read on the betting line.

I loved the value when we could get them at (+3.5) at home but let’s attack that point total instead.

Enjoy the game!

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Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.