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FanDuel MLB Picks – September 15th

Thursday was an epic disaster when it came to our daily fantasy baseball picks. If you didn’t have some shares of the Yankees, Cubs and/or Mariners, you weren’t going very far.

We did at least get on the board with 5 of our bats, but Jay Bruce (12.5) was our top performer. Yuck, right? Our pitching choice wasn’t terrible, though. Brad Peacock notched a solid 34 fantasy points and wouldn’t have kept us from cashing if our bats had been a bit livelier.

Unfortunately yesterday wasn’t a big win for our FanDuel squad, but Friday gives us one more out before the weekend arrives. For that, be sure to hit up our Week 2 FanDuel NFL picks if you plan on playing daily fantasy football this week. Let’s get to it:

SP: Robbie Ray – Arizona Diamondbacks ($10.9k)

Chris Sale is the obvious play for cash games, but I’ll drop down to Ray in tourneys. Not only do the Rays know Sale pretty well, but his numbers just haven’t been the same lately. Ray dominates on the road (1.34 ERA), gets a park upgrade at AT&T Park and faces a punchless Giants team.

Ray has also been dazzling with 10+ Ks in his last three starts. I love him as an elite closer and while ideally he’d be a tad cheaper, he’s 100% my favorite arm.

We can consider other options, of course. Sale is still in play despite some red flags and a $11.8k price tag, while Alex Wood ($8.7k) feels like a value in a solid park against the Nats. Luis Severino ($10.6k) is in a tough park against the Orioles, but he might be one of the best GPP tries due to likely being rather contrarian tonight.

This is probably where my hunt for an arm ends tonight. There are other big names to toss around like James Paxton, Charlie Morton, Shark, J.A. Happ and Trevor Bauer, but I’m not in love with their spots and/or pricing tonight. I’m stuck on Ray for the most part.

C: John Hicks – Detroit Tigers ($2.1k)

We’re going to need salary relief somewhere and catcher isn’t good beyond the top options, so I am all for punting the position. Hicks makes sense, as he owns a .177 ISO versus righties and faces an unproven one in the 23-year old Carson Fulmer. Fulmer has given up four home runs in just four appearances this year, so this is some nice, cheap exposure to a potential gascan.

Gary Sanchez is my favorite play at the position and we can look to Coors bats here if we need to. However, this is a fine spot to save big if we can and an active Hicks at this price with this matchup looks pretty appealing.

1B: Justin Smoak – Toronto Blue Jays ($2.9k)

There is a ton of value on the board tonight; we just need to be willing to bypass the high-priced players to pounce on it. Smoak is obviously at a stacked 1B position, but he’s priced down due to some rough struggles. His upside usually makes him a guy in the $3.7-$4k range, however.

It’s possible Smoak may be turning the corner, as he donged in his last start and now has 4 hits over his last three outings. He’s still a little shaky, but I trust his nasty splits against righties (.277 ISO, .366 wOBA) as well as the fact that he gets to take on Bartolo Colon in a hitter’s park. Colon finally showed his true colors again in his last start (6 earned runs), so here’s to hoping a discounted Smoak can get to him.

2B: Yoan Moncada – Chicago White Sox ($3.1k)

Talk about a bloated position today. It seems like all of the top options at 2B are $4k or more, so I don’t mind just fading those guys and rolling with one of my favorite value plays on the slate. Moncada went nuts yesterday (52.5 fantasy points), but has really been heating up in general with 12 hits over his last 6 starts.

Not only is the talented youngster seeing the ball well, but he’s not a bad price in an awesome matchup against Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez has turned back into a pitcher we can pick on (7 runs allowed in his last start) and he also gives up a ridiculous .304 ISO and .437 wOBA to the right side of the plate. That has me locked in on Yoan tonight.

3B: Jake Lamb – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3k)

Jeff Samardzija literally gets wrecked every single time I use him, so since I’m fading him tonight I half expect him to deliver a perfect game. Logic doesn’t support that, though, and even with a bit of a rut at the moment, Lamb looks like an awesome play. He’s in a bad park for the long ball, but Shark has never been a stranger to hard contact.

Lamb carries fun splits (.261 ISO) into this matchup, while Shark has his toughest outs (.223 ISO) against left-handed hitters. The sample size is small, but Lamb has also specifically wrecked Shark to the tune of a .462 batting average, 6 RBI and a home run. We don’t want to lean on that alone, but everything together points to him being one of the better value plays on the board.

The guy I’d really want to pay up for at 3B is Nolan Arenado, but he’s a staggering $5.2k. He crushes southpaws, but I’m not sure I can swing it.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.9k)

I am never getting off of Seager until FanDuel pushes his price back up. I know he’s been dealing with an elbow issue, but he’s still making starts and putting the ball in play. Tonight he’s especially tempting, as he hits righties well and gets a shaky one in Edwin Jackson. Jackson has been surprisingly solid for the Nats, but it’s possible the wheels have started coming off (9 runs allowed in his last two starts).

Either way, Seager is in a solid enough spot here and simply remains way too cheap. In that same breath, even in a bad matchup Carlos Correa at $3.3k is going to be hard to ignore.

OF: Nicky Delmonico – Chicago White Sox ($2.8k)

Delmonico wasn’t part of Chicago’s ridiculous offensive explosion on Thursday (17 runs!) but he surely could be tonight. He faces Anibal Sanchez, who is an equal opportunity gascan and offers up a .229 ISO and .369 wOBA with a 35% fly ball rate to lefty bats. Delmonico has flashed brilliance this year and provided he starts, figures to be a bargain power bat.

OF: Gregory Polanco – Pittsburgh Pirates ($2.4k)

We get more value in Polanco, who is a good hitter but just isn’t having a great year. He’s in a great park against Homer Bailey, however, so I don’t mind rolling the dice here.

OF: Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels ($4.8k)

A few logical dives should help us get one elite power bat and Trout is the guy I’m eyeing tonight. I want someone slightly contrarian and with a game at Coors and guys like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Rhys Hoskins all cheaper, I think we can get him at pretty low ownership.

Trout didn’t do anything last night but he’s too good to stay down for long. He’s also got a solid history against Nick Martinez (2 HR), who happens to cough up a sick .266 ISO to right-handed bats. I can see dong #3 and maybe even #4 coming against Martinez tonight.

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