This week the tour swings to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open. This is the first time TPC San Antonio has hosted the Open and it is also the first tournament of the “Texas Swing”. With a few last minute big name additions like Ernie Els and Vijay Singh to the field, this year’s Valero Texas Open is shaping up to be a great one. TPC San Antonio’s “AT&T Oaks Course” (where the Valero is being held) just opened its doors in February of this year, and is sure to be a great test for the best players in the world. The course is designed by Greg Norman and can play over 7,400 yards with tree-lined fairways, a lot of well placed bunkers and fast rolling greens. And we all know if those Texas winds are blowing, then it could get really fun.
All courses demand straight tee-shots, but with the tree-lined fairways and massive fairway bunkers the margin for error at the AT&T Oaks Course is very slim. In addition to straight drives, hitting greens in regulation is a real key this week. The AT&T Oaks Course has unique “run-off” chipping areas around the green that will cause problems for players when they miss greens. Look for this week’s winner to be among the leader in driving accuracy and greens in regulation.
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Valero Texas Open Betting Picks:
Zach Johnson (+1500 $10 bet pays $150 ) – Zach is not a long hitter so he has to make up for his lack of length with his accuracy, and Zach does just that. Zach’s T22 last week at the players was his best finish and three months, so he seems to have started to peek at the right time. Zach is almost always in control of his game and when he gets the putter rolling he is a force to be wrecked with. Zach can also really control his trajectory of his ball which is huge in these winds. Oh and one more thing, Zach has one this tournament the two years in a row. Look for Mr. Johnson to have a shot at the 3peat this week in San Antonio.
Justin Leonard (+2500 $10 bet pays $250 ) – Leonard, a Texas native, always seems to have his game in his home state. He grew up playing in the Texas winds his whole life and I don’t know if there is anyone who can play better in the gale force Texas winds then Justin. He always seems to contend in Texas and it doesn’t hurt that he has won this golf tournament three times, with the most recent coming in 2003. Look for Justin to definitely get his first top-10 of the year and maybe even contend on Sunday.
J.B. Holmes (+3000 $10 bet pays $300 ) – J.B is one of the longest hitters on tour, and hits it straighter then most , if not all, “long-ball” hitters. On a course that tops out at 7,500 yards length definitely doesn’t hurt and coming off a T13 at The Players, look for J.B. to carry momentum into Texas this week.
Sleeper Pick for Valero Texas Open
John Rollins (+3000 $10 bet pays $300) – Rollins is coming off a T13 at The Players (his third top25 finish in four starts). With this long course demanding straight tee balls and greens in regulation Johnny fits the model perfectly. He ranks 13th in greens in regulation and sixth in driving accuracy. John will once again come under the radar this week with another solid performance.
Golfers To Avoid Betting This Weekend
Ernie Els (+1000) – For the second straight week I am avoiding sweet swinging Ernie. He has had a great start to the 2010 season, however last week at the Players Ernie struggled, and on a course demanding accurate drives and lots of greens in regulation, I just don’t think Ernie is up for the task. It does not help that Ernie has never played in the Texas Open either. Look for Ernie to rebound after a poor players performance with a top25 finish, however I would not look for him to be one of the few final pairings Sunday.
Adam Scott (+2500) – Adam has rebounded well this year after an awful 2009 season, however he is still not ready to contend. With his sweet swing and long drives look for him to make a little noise on Thursday or Friday, however, he is still not playing near consistent enough to play four solid rounds. Avoid Adam this week but look for a top 25 finish.
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