European Tour Betting Picks: Australian PGA Championship

Golf Player Jason Scrivener - Australian PGA Championship Logo

We have reached the final tournament of the year for the golfing world and it has been quite an exciting year that was capped off by last weekend’s comeback by the favorite Americans at the Presidents Cup.

What a win for a group of individuals that aren’t particularly accustomed to having teammates.

As much as we have seen Tiger Woods celebrate over the past two decades, I’m not exactly sure I remember a time where he was more choked up. You could hear how proud he was of his team at the end of play on Sunday.

The PGA tees off in the new decade in about 2 weeks with the Tournament of Champions from Kapalua in Hawaii.

This Week:

The European Tour wraps things up with the Australian PGA Championship from the RACV Royal Pines Course in Queensland. Presidents Cup runners up and local down-undermen Adam Scott and Cameron Smith are each competing this weekend.

Cam is actually the two-time defending champion although the elder Scott remains the betting favorite at (+450) with the former not far behind at (+600).

There are some matchup betting odds for these two with a significant amount of value next to one man’s name. More on that in a few.

Betting odds provided to us today by the online sportsbook BetOnline.AG.

Let’s break down how our extended weekend of betting played out and quickly move into our predictions for this week’s action from ‘Straya.

Presidents Cup Betting Recap

Putting out faith in the Americans, we got off to a rather rough first couple of days. We picked the USA to win day one and for the two squads to finish the second day of play tied.

Well, the Internationals were off to a blazing start on Thursday and carried over their lead into the weekend so there went that money.

Our next bet was when the tournament would end on Sunday. My predictions fell in line with the US heading into the final day of play with a comfortable lead so I took matches 1-4 at (+150).

We really missed out here as it was decided in singles matches 11-12 which paid out at (+1000).

We had two picks for the top American player, Xander Schauffele (+600) and Tiger Woods (+1400).

The X-Man played very well for it being his first time in the competition. He went 3-2 highlighted by the much-needed defeat of Adam Scott in the final round.

Tiger, Though… My Man!

Woods held himself out of play on Saturday which proved to be a winning strategy, of course, as he set a championship tone for his team by winning an early point on Sunday. Tiger was 3-0 and the top performer for the US team.

We went for Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama as the International’s top performer and even though he had a solid first 3.5 days, his Sunday fall from grace was costly.

Matsuyama was 4 up on Tony Finau but ending up halving by the end of the match.

Our pick for top debutant was a good one, though! Sungjae Im! What a stud this young kid is coming out of Jeju Island in South Korea.

The 2019 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year was 3-1-1 tying the mark for points earned by a tournament rookie. The problem with the bet was another outstanding golfer, Mexico’s Abraham Ancer who was making his first Presidents Cup appearance was also 3-1-1.

The payout for Sungjae was (+800) so I hope you guys were able to cash from this.

Finally, we won our pick for the Americans to take the tourney. The payout was just (-270), though.

What began as a nightmare for us and fans of the Americans, turned out to be a very profitable weekend.

Adam Scott (-165) vs Cameron Smith (+145)

Hey, both guys are studs. We know this already.

Each golfer is coming off of an emotionally collapsing loss at the Presidents Cup.

Cameron Smith should have a good deal of confidence moving on to this week as he dealt Justin Thomas his only loss of the tournament in singles play on Sunday.

Adam Scott faltered on Sunday and finished up the weekend at 2-2-1. He hasn’t been all that impressive since the finality of this year’s FedEx Cup Playoffs either. 17th, 42nd, 33rd, and 11th are not world-beating numbers considering the diminished level of competition in these fields.

Both golfers are former winners here but Cam is the two-time defending champ and has finished inside the top 5 in the past few years as well.

I think his youth along with a much better and hopefully conscious clearing individual win on Sunday will carry him to a lower score than Scott.

Even if this is a pick’em, the nearly 1.5 to 1 odds hold value.

The Bet
Smith Over Scott

Cameron Champ (-120) vs Callum Hill (+100)

We are getting great odds here on the young American.

Cameron Champ is as heavy of a hitter as they come and this golf course is rather forgiving. That’s what the undisciplined at times Texas A&M Aggie Champ needs at this point in his career to succeed.

  • 1st in driving distance and 175th in accuracy off the tee, the Champ should be able to bomb without too much concern for missing the fairway.
  • 22nd in birdies and 22nd in greens in regulation are also excellent numbers.

This is directly where the favorable numbers grind to a halt for the Sacramento-native. He still struggles around the green and with the flat stick in his hands.

These are all from the 2019 season-that has already ended. He has since won a tournament, though, the Safeway Open in September.

Callum Hill is a Scottish golfer on the Challenge Tour. He is roughly the same age as Champ but has had much more of a mediocre rise to this point in his career.

He didn’t play golf for a division 1 school although he did make it all the way to runner up for a div II national title at Western New Mexico University.

I like Cam Champ here. If he has the freedom to hit the ball with a great deal of force, then I trust he has the ability to compete with anyone.

The Bet
Champ Over Hill

Jason Scrivener to Finish Inside the Top Ten

This guy might be the hottest golfer in the field this week! Jason Scrivener is playing absolutely great right now.

He was most recently top ten at the DP World Tour Championship amongst a solid group of Europeans including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose, and Paul Casey.

A week prior, he finished 3rd at the Nedbank. Before that, he has 21st, 26th, and 7th place finishes in 3 out of his last 4 appearances.

He shot a 5 under par in the final round of last year’s Australian PGA Championship. It was enough to get him to 6th place.

The Capetown born but Australian resident Scrivener was 15th here in 2017 but managed a better overall score than the year before by a couple of strokes.

He’s in great form. His course history is very good. He’s also Australian which is a good sign. The local blokes have won 19 out of the last 20 tournaments.

Give Jason some love for a top ten at just above even money.

The Bet
Scrivener Top Ten

In Conclusion

This is the final tournament of the year and the decade as well!

I’m extremely excited about both the new year and to be living in the ’20s. The 1920s were fun. The 1930s and 40s not so much but I feel good about these years to come.

The golfing world has seen a changing of the guard as players like Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka have set themselves apart from the rest of the golfers around the globe.

Australia still has some great players, though. We can’t forget about them.

Marc Leishman and Adam Scott have both been excellent representatives of their country but it’s the up-and-coming Cameron Smith that will be on every bettor’s radar this weekend.

After a strong finish on Sunday at the Presidents Cup, the two-time defending Australian PGA Tour Champion will be looking to ride that wave of confidence into potentially 3-peating in his home country.

I like Cameron Champ to play well this week. He isn’t the most consistent of young golfers but he has a skillset and potentially low ceiling not many players on the Tour can match.

Jason Scrivener is another popular name flying around and for good reason. His form, course history, and nationality all line him up for success at this week’s Australian PGA Championship.

Tune in, turn up, and bet hard!

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Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.