PGA Tour Betting Picks: Farmers Insurance Open From Torrey Pines

Golf Player Xander Schauffele - Farmers Insurance Open Logo

The PGA Tour is finally picking up some steam this week as some of the world’s best are turning up at Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open.

Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm lead the way this week in sunny Southern California just 12 miles north of one of America’s favorite cities, San Diego.

There are two courses at Torrey Pines. The South Course is a massive 7,700 yard classical design that plays long and is long.

The world famous South Course is, in fact, the longest course on the PGA Tour. Golfers will only be playing this one for 54 holes.

The North Course will host the other 18 holes on Thursday and Friday with half of the field playing there on each of the first two days of the tournament.

The greens of each course are different surfaces with the South Course sporting Poa Anna and the North is Bentgrass. That’s one small glitch for bettors as it makes things more complex but we will do our best.

The South Course was also renovated last year… Great.

Can we get some consistent statistics to go by please? It is what it is, I guess.

As far as difficulty goes, the two courses couldn’t be more different as the North course plays very easily ranking 48th out of the 49 PGA Tour golf courses while the South Course comes in at 6th.

We can’t forget the redesigns, though. It’s going to be interesting. That’s for sure.

Tiger Woods:

He will be in the field this week, y’all. He is a previous winner and the aforementioned Jon Rahm has also taken home the trophy.

Jason Day:

Day is a two-time winner at Torrey in the past 5 years largely due to his putting prowess as the South Course boasts some of the gnarliest greens in the world.

Yes, I used a surfing term to describe a golf course but hey, this is SoCal.

Day is way down at (+175) to finish inside the top twenty as the level of his play has deteriorated over the past couple of years dramatically.

Brandt Snedeker, who won here in 2012 is a 2-1 underdog to finish inside the top twenty.

On the surface, both of these bets look really good.

Before we dive deeper into the betting odds for the Farmers Insurance Open, let’s quickly recap how we did last week at the AMEX Championship this past weekend.

  • We stayed on South Korean youngster and reigning PGA tour Rookie of the Year Sungjae Im for one more week after he choked in the final round two weeks ago at the Sony Open in Honolulu. It paid off but not significantly as he was (-140) for a top twenty. It was nice to win, though, for sure, after going “0 for” the week prior.
  • We were on another young upstart in Scottie Scheffler and he almost won the whole darn thing. (+120) for a top twenty hit, though, and it made sure we had a profitable week even with the helter skelter, as of late, Kevin Kisner stunk it up.

This week, the statistics of greens in regulation and putting will be our main focus.

The online sportsbook BetOnline.ag has the betting odds for us this week. Let’s make some picks!

Xander Schauffele to Finish Inside the Top Twenty

The X-Man is a San Diego native and shockingly, hasn’t won a tournament for more than a year now. Here’s some more surprising news for you. He has missed the cut here in 3 out of the previous 4 years!

So, why are we on Schauffele? Well, it’s his home course. Also, if you’ve been following the PGA Tour over the past year, you know how good this young man really is.

He was up there in the top 5 in virtually every major in 2019 and I expect him to up his game this year.

This brings me back to the recent course redesign.

He has had a three week break since a near successful title defense in Maui at the talent rich Tournament of Champions where he finished second to Justin Thomas in a playoff.

What do you think he’s been doing for 3 weeks?

He took his butt back home, ate some of the best burritos this side of the Rio Grande and familiarised himself even more with the newly renovated South Course where he has struggled in the past.

He also finished up 2019 with two top tens and another runner-up performance, this time falling short to Rory McIlroy.

I want to go top ten but the (-120) isn’t much juice to pay so let’s take him top twenty.

The Bet
Schauffele Top Twenty
-120

Tony Finau to Finish Inside the Top Twenty

I’m getting bomb.com member Tony Finau at plus money for ¾ of the tournament played on the longest course of the year? I’ll take it!

The Samoan Finau has had a ton of success here in the recent past and is off to a solid start on the season as well.

14th and 10th in his previous two appearances on the PGA Tour, Tony Finau comes into this week’s tourney at Torrey with a couple of weeks of rest and likely extra practice.

I don’t know why he wouldn’t have been here practicing. It’s January and San Diego has some of the best weather in the world all year round.

In just 5 appearances here, Finau has finished 24th, 18, 4th, 6th, and 13th in chronological order.

He is an absolute steal.

The Bet
Finau Top Twenty
+125

Jason Day to Finish Inside the Top Twenty

Yes, I know Day was not himself for a big part of 2019.

He did finish 5th here last year, though, and has secured 1st, 1st, 2nd, and 9th place finishes over the past 6 years.

In his last three tourneys his play has started to come around, albeit ever so lightly wrapping up 22nd and 31st, respectively, to go along with a missed cut.

If I were Day, his caddie, his manager, his wife, kids, dog, etc, I would tell him: “J, listen up mate. This is the perfect opportunity for you to get your swagger back. Heck, you can even get your mojo too.”

I’m sure Mike Myers has a place around there somewhere.

Maybe he doesn’t come out and dominate nearly everyone in the field as he is accustomed to doing but we are getting exceptional value here for a top twenty finish.

The Bet
Day Top Twenty
+175

In Conclusion

Torrey Pines is one of the most well-known and difficult places to play golf in the world.

Set on the scenic Southern California coast, it plays long and the greens are expected to be extra firm as the last couple of months have been rather dry.

Calm conditions are expected with a slight chill in the air but nothing worth noting unless you’re blood is thinner than water.

Due to recent redesigns on both the North and South courses, we had to tread rather lightly with our picks. I would have liked to reach for more value but I like our picks just as they are.

Finau is playing well and absolutely crushes the ball. He has never been a great putter because if he was, he would be a top five golfer in the world.

When his total tee-to-green game is working, he is a threat to win any tournament. I like him to be in good positions for birdies for most of the weekend.

Jason Day has disappeared lately but I think he makes a triumphant return this week and comfortably finishes inside the top twenty. The greens will likely be the most difficult part of the courses and he is a master with the flat stick.

Xander Schauffele could very well win it. The hometown boy has struggled here in the past on the big stage but he should be more educated on the recent changes than anyone else.

Tune in, turn up, and bet hard directly from this article.

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Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.