PGA Tour FedExCup Playoff Picks: The Northern Trust

Playoffs? Playoffs?

After just one major tournament, the PGA Tour is moving right along with the season and starting the playoffs on time, actually.

The Masters is still scheduled for November but the playoffs begin this week.

We start with the Northern Trust which will be held this year at TPC Boston which is normally the home of the Dell Technologies Championship which was the first of 4 playoff events but now the PGA Tour has switched to just three tourneys in the playoffs.

After the Northern Trust wraps up on Sunday, we will have the BMW Championship and then the Tour Championship the following week.

If you’re looking back at a golfer’s history at this tournament, make sure you are looking at the actual course history and not the tournament history.

Before we get to this week’s golf betting predictions, I wanted to brag a little bit about our picks from last week’s Wyndham Championship.

Maybe we just got lucky but I remember working extra hard and then feeling great about the picks. It’s about the process for me so to feel great about that and nail every pick was nice.

  • We bet Webb Simpson for a top ten at (+120) which wasn’t an off the wall choice considering it was pretty much his home course and he plays excellent there.
  • Billy Horschel came through with a top twenty play for us at (+175) and Si Woo Kim broke out of a lengthy slump with a top ten for a thick 4-1 payout.

All weekend, I was kicking myself for not taking any of the three golfers to win the tourney but 42-year-old Jim Herman had other ideas, stole the show with a one-stroke win, and made me feel better.

Horschel finished 2nd and Webb and Si Woo ended Sunday’s play tied for 3rd.

The BetOnline.AGonline sportsbook BetOnline.AG has the golf betting odds for us this week. Now that our confidence is high, let’s make some plays for the Northern Trust from TPC Boston.

Top 10

Bryson DeChambeau: +150

From “Slo-mo” a year ago to now “D-Bol” Dechambeau, the man with the Hogan hat has reinvented himself over the course of a few months at the highest level of golf. That is truly unheard of, really.

It’s one thing to as I said to reinvent yourself as a professional athlete but to come out of the lockdown absolutely jacked and then perform the way he has is something special.

Don’t listen to the haters. They will tell you he can’t control his shots and yada yada yada.

He is BY FAR first in driving distance as he is making Happy Gilmore look like Chez Reavie off the tee. And the man still ranks in the top 3 on Tour in putting.

Everything in between is a little shaky but he gains so many strokes at the beginning and the end of holes that it hasn’t mattered that much.

The scariest part about this for Bryson’s fellow golfers on the PGA Tour is that he is still going through a major adjustment period.

He had five top 5’s in his last 7 tournaments before the break and after quarantining with Ronnie Coleman for a few months, Bryson emerged a new man at 6’1 and 230+!

Since then, he has finished inside the top ten 4 times in 6 tournaments including a victory at the Rocket Mortgage Classic over July 4th weekend. So that’s 7 top 5s in 13 his last 13 tourneys…

As I said, don’t listen to the haters. He shot a pair of 66’s in his last two rounds played at the PGA Championship a couple of weeks ago and finished 4th.

I like the guys who took last week off and Bryson is one of them.

The fairways are nearly 40-feet wide so I’m expecting some absolute bombs from D-Bol.

Top 20

Tony Finau: +150

This is Tony time.

The Samoan golf superstar has been playing pretty well over the past month or so. He was terrible right after the break failing to finish inside the top 20 in his first 4 tournaments back.

Since then, though, finishes of 8th, 3rd, and 4th in his last four tournaments tell us that the 30-year-old 6’4” golf giant is primed for a proper performance in the playoffs.

Finau does struggle a bit with his putter and a lot with driving accuracy but on bomber style courses like TPC Boston, he usually shines.

He is still top ten in shots gained tee-to-green all year and as you can see from his record, he ranks even higher over the past month.

I like Finau to possibly snag a top ten but the field is obviously thick with this being the first week of the playoffs so let’s stick with the top twenty play.

Daniel Berger: +150

I know Berg is not an absolute savage off the tee but he isn’t bad averaging just below 300 yards per drive. He still ranks 5th in both birdie average and scoring average, though. 14th in shots gained putting…

Daniel will likely gain a few strokes on the bombers with his flat stick.

DB has finished inside the top 13 in 7 out of his last 8 tournaments only missing the cut at The Memorial where he finished 3rd the week prior on the same course. 5 top 5’s in the last 8 tournaments also.

The course isn’t perfectly suited to his game but Berger has proven in 2020 that he can compete on any style of golf course.

I do expect a bomber who averages in the top 20 in driving distance to get the win this week, Berger is easily good enough to grab a top twenty.

The Picks
DeChambeau Top 10
+150
Finau Top 20
+150
Berger Top 20
+150

In Conclusion

This should be a fun tournament to watch!

Okay, I know you hardcore golf fans out there hate nothing more than a birdie and eagle fest and that’s primarily the forecast for the Northern Trust but it’s going to be fun regardless.

Bryson is going to be blasting missiles off the tee and with just a smidgen of accuracy, D-Bol could run away with this one over the weekend.

Daniel Berger top twenty or even top ten is a must bet just about every week now.

I know he doesn’t have as much juice as the 200-pounders like Bryson and Tony but Berg is one of the most well-rounded golfers on the PGA Tour.

His mental game appears to be as sharp as anyone so I don’t worry about him there.

Get your bets in now and enjoy the low scores this weekend at the Northern Trust.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.