PGA Tour Championship Betting Picks

The 2019/2020 season of the PGA Tour is coming to an end.

I really wish 2020 was coming to an end completely, to be honest, but the word of the year for me has to be “patience”.

It’s been fun and all. I’ve learned a lot about my crafts and even more about myself but as Martin Payne would say, 2020 needs to “Get to steppin’”.

Well, just because the golf season is ending doesn’t mean that the play is going to stop. So, that’s good.

In fact, we are going to see the US Open in just a couple of weeks. This is really an exciting time for golf and its fans.

Normally, we have to wait from the Fall until mid-April before we get to see a major tournament. Anxiety aside, let’s focus on the present.

I’m not sure if all of the golfers on the PGA Tour are considering the 2019/2020 season as a legit year of golf. I guess it depends on how successful they’ve been, right?

Regardless of how any of us feel about this, we will crown a winner on Sunday.

We will be using the starting strokes index that the Tour used last year with the FedEx Cup Standings deciding the top-ranked golfers’ respective handicaps.

  • Dustin Johnson, who is the current leader in the standings, will start the tournament at 10 under par. That’s pretty scary considering his level and how well he has been playing.
  • Jon Rahm, who won a playoff against DJ on Sunday to win the BMW Championship will start in second place, if you will, at minus 9.

The post-lockdown stars Justin Thomas, Webb Simpson, Collin Morikawa, and Daniel Berger will follow the big two in that order.

BetOnline.AG has both the betting lines and opportunities on the winner of the tournament which doesn’t include anyone’s starting strokes as well as the winner of the FedEx Cup which, of course, includes the starting strokes.

Let’s tee it up!

Tournament Winner

Daniel Berger: +1800

The man has been amazing this year.

A top five finisher in 6 out of his last 9 starts, only DJ, Jon Rahm, and Hariss English are arguably playing better golf right now.

I really wish I would have got on the Berger betting train earlier this year because he has been money.

Top ten bets on him seem to be the way to go.

We can only go winner here this week, though, so let’s stick with who has been the best bet in golf over the past several months.

Billy Horschel: +3300

I’m betting the number here.

We had Billy for a top ten bet when he finished 2nd a few weeks ago at the Wyndham Championship. He then missed the cut at the Northern Trust and finished 32nd last week at the BMW.

Maybe the pressure of the playoffs got to him a little bit. It takes some special kind of mental warrior to succeed at the highest level of golf.

We don’t see or know what’s going on in these guys’ heads at times but the balance they must maintain mentally is astounding. If it was the pressure that got to Billy, it’s gone now.

Unless you win the FedEx Cup, the Tour Championship winner is rarely remembered.

Like, for instance, Billy Horschel, who won the Tour Championship here at East Lake on just his second try after an impressive 7th place spot the year prior.

His only other appearance at the tournament was in 2018 when he finished as the runner-up. That’s an average finish of 3.3.

Maybe that’s where they got the (+3300) but they can have some of my money in this spot.

He has had a solid season and has clearly owned this course in the past.

FedEx Cup Winner

Dustin Johnson: +180

The man is en fuego!

Who remembers that from the Dan Patrick/Keith Olberman days of Sportscenter? The glory days of Sportscenter definitely seem to be behind us.

Dustin Johnson’s glory days, though, are not. He is outplaying the rest of the playoff field including Jon Rahm by 12 strokes over two tournaments.

What he was able to do at the Northern Trust was Tiger-esque. 30 under!

Then to follow it up with a 2nd place (-4) finish to the surging Rahm on a course that played completely different from the one week prior, just fantastic.

DJ was the best in the world for years and that was not that long ago.

He’s now playing better than anyone. He also has 5 top tens in his last 6 appearances at East Lake.

Go DJ.

The Picks
Berger to Win
Horschel to Win
Johnson to Win the FedEx Cup

In Conclusion

I didn’t stray too far from the basics this week.

We are taking the favorite to win the tournament and we are getting 2 strokes on one other golfer and exponentially more on the rest of the field. I will take that all day.

And yea, 30 under par finish less than 2 weeks ago… That too.

I like the number with Horschel and his past performances here are only matched by maybe Xander Schauffele who might not be a bad pick to win the tournament either.

Justin Thomas plays great here as well if you want a sprinkle or two.

Get your bets in now, though, because they are moving. The Berger odds shot down immediately after they were released.

Enjoy the “end” of the season and start your scouting for the US Open in a couple of weeks!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.