PGA Tour Betting Picks: RBC Heritage from Harbour Town

I can’t remember seeing so many lip outs in one tournament, heck the last round had countless in and out of the cup putts from some of the best players in the world.

This was runner-up Colin Morikawa’s playoff putt to stay alive against tournament winner, Daniel Berger.

That’s just brutal. It was happening to everyone all weekend long.

The X-Man, Xander Schauffele scrambled beautifully on the back 9 after hitting several wankers off the tee. That led him to this putt on 17 to even him up with Berger and Morikawa.

Just brutal. It was kind of a crappy way to end what had already been a tremendous tournament.

A 3-way playoff between the three 20-somethings would have been pretty rad but it was nice to see Berger pick right back up where he left off 3 months ago before the quarantine.

The Florida State Seminole with an apple of a heinie had a streak of three straight top ten finishes including top fives in his last two tournaments. He has only missed one cut this year and his worst weekend was 38th at the Houston Open.

Berger started off last week ranked 107th in the world. He’s now 31st.

We will definitely be keeping an eye out for Daniel this year. He is in the field at this week’s RBC Heritage from Harbour Town in the sleepy snowbird town of Hilton Head, South Carolina.

At the top of the board, we have Rory, Rahm, JT, Bryson, X-Man, Sungjae, and Simpson. The value appears to be at around 33 to 1 to win.

That’s where you’ll find Berger, Spieth, DJ, Brooks, Woodland, as well as former winner and last year’s runner-up, Matt Kuchar. There appears to be a good deal of value on the board.

BetOnline.AG has the odds for us this week. Let’s quickly recap our betting performance for this past weekend’s tournament.

Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Recap

Last year’s winner, Kevin Na, and course destroyer Andrew Putnam each fell short of the cut by the weekend.

Brian Harman, though, ugh. That one hurt. We had him at (+450) for a top twenty finish and he ended Sunday 1 stroke away from the goal.

Sungjae Im and Jordan Spieth were our horses, though. They both finished tied for 10th.

I guess a top ten bet was the play but we are talking one stroke away from not cashing so I’m happy to nearly break even on the first week back in a talent-rich field of golfers.

Jordan Spieth cashed at (+200) and the South Korean sensation Sungjae Im paid (+175).

RBC Heritage Top Twenty

JT Poston: +275

Hilton Head isn’t too far from Hickory, North Carolina. That’s where 27-year-old JT Poston grew up. The small town sits between Charlotte and the edge of the Smoky Mountains.

I’m sure the kid knows all about playing in the wind. We aren’t expecting it to be very gusty right now but coastal weather has a mind of its own sometimes.

The Western Carolina grad is coming off of a T-10 finish this past weekend in Fort Worth and has performed quite well in his sole start in Harbour Town.

  • He secured his first win on the PGA Tour back in August of 2019… seems like a decade ago at this point but I digress.
  • JT took the title at the Wyndham Championships finishing the tournament at 22 under par. Webb Simpson was the runner-up.
  • Since then, he has a top 20 at the RSM Classic, a 2nd place finish at the partner event QBE Shootout, and a very impressive 11th at the Tournament of Champions at the beginning of the year.

Poston is 7th this season on the PGA Tour in total putting.

This course is very small and will reward heavy hitting even less than we saw last week at Colonial. A lot of people are on Bryson DeChambeau this week after we saw him drive several tee shots north of 350 years.

I think the dude gained 25 pounds of muscle. Better test that man. He could very well club down and show off his increased control on longer shots that comes with more power. I don’t know about this week, though.

Those kinda things take a while to calibrate and dial themselves in. He has also missed a couple of cuts here in just 4 appearances.

JT Poston, though, has much higher-paying odds and I think the Carolina boy can squeak out a top twenty finish in Harbour Town. 6th here last year in his only tournament start…

Matt Kuchar: +175

Okay, sure, he did miss the cut this past weekend.

He shot a 71 in the first round and improved on that with a 68 on Friday. It’s not like he looked like garbage. Matt Kuchar is one of if not the most consistent golfers at Harbour Town.

He has finished above 23rd just twice in the past decade here including a runner-up finish last year and a victory in 2014.

Matt is top ten in putting on the Tour this season and has a runner-up finish as recent as February at the Genesis.

His impeccable course history along with the fact that he didn’t roast his body in the 100 degree Texas sun over the weekend once he was cut at Colonial should lend itself to a proper performance this weekend.

He has the course history, the course fit, and I don’t believe his current form is that bad.

Brian Harman: +300

I will not leave Brian Harman alone!

We had him at better than 4 to 1 but after an even par performance for all of Saturday, Brian slid down the leaderboard and finished one shot away from a nice paying day. I love how his skills line up this week too!

Colonial and Harbour Town aren’t that different.

Accuracy and putting will be paramount while the Gary Woodland’s of the world who are approaching the green so well could shoot to the top because these Bermudagrass greens are very small.

He has a couple of top tens here and seems to be swinging a fairly hot club.

Let’s give him a little bit of love at 3 to 1.

The Picks
Poston Top 20
+275
Kuchar Top 20
+175
Harman Top 20
+300

In Conclusion

Last week’s Charles Schwab Classic at Colonial Country Club proved to be a rather exciting return to golf for the PGA Tour after nearly 100 days away.

The Sunday wind and all of the unfortunate lipping of the cups on the greens kinda put a damper on things but that’s golf. You have to tip your cap to Daniel Berger who did what he had to do to win.

Harman fell one stroke short of making the first week back a rather profitable one but that’s okay.

We aren’t going to hunt you down just yet Brian. Sneak and most importantly, stay in the top 20 at Harbour Town and we won’t have any problems, okay? Seriously, though, I think he will get his third top ten this week and cash for us.

Matt Kuchar is Mr. Consistent here and JT Poston has a game suited to Harbour Town.

Get your bets in now, guys, and have a Carolina-style dog with chili and slaw while you enjoy the Carolina-style course at the RBC this weekend.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.