PGA Tour Betting Picks: Sentry Tournament of Champions

Happy New Year golf betting fans! It has been an incredibly fun and interesting year for me as well as the golf world.

I feel like we obtained a solid grip on the top twenty finisher
golf betting predictions. I picked some bad times to add risk for a top ten or five placing and a good percentage of the top twenty picks could have been top tens.

I like the sweet spot of the mid-tier golfers on the betting boards with solid form, good course history, and +money for that top twenty.

It’s a new year, though. So what’s in store for 2020? I believe Tiger Woods is going to have an outstanding go at it and probably win a major.

He came on very strong towards the end of 2019 capped off by a Team USA win at the Presidents Cup where the captain, Woods, went 3-0 and never let a significant day 3 deficit derail them.

Another man, albeit at the opposite end of his respective career, who scorched the competition at the Presidents Cup, Sungjae Im, is coming off of a stellar season.

The Rookie of the Year for the 2018-2019 season on the PGA Tour, Sungjae has shown flashes of greatness while his play has remained consistent throughout.

Brooks Koepka will be coming back from knee surgery this season so it remains to be seen if his level of play can be sustained.

Rory McIlroy would love to add to the four major titles he has already.

None of the golfers I’ve mentioned are actually competing this week in Hawaii at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

One man that is and who is swinging the best club in the world right now is Jon Rahm. Dating back to the FedEx Cup Playoffs in August, the Spaniard has the following finishes: 3, 5, 12, 2, MC, 1, 1, 2.

He’s lights out! Before I looked at the betting odds, I was already thinking that I’m going to jump all over Rahm but then… He is (+400) to win and (-), yes minus 125 to finish inside the top 5!

This is in a field with JT, Xander, DJ, Cantlay, Patrick Reed, Gary Woodland, and Paul Casey.

The top five bet is tempting, though. I can’t lie. As much as I scoffed at it originally, I see the value.

Also, there are only 34 players in the field this week in Maui so, unfortunately, there are no top twenty betting odds.

BetOnline.AG has the goods for us this week. Let’s get to the betting odds and picks for the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Corey Conners

  • To Win: +4500
  • Top Five: +600
  • Top Ten: +225

I love how Corey Conners is flying into Maui under the radar and coming in hot!

The 2018-2019 PGA Tour season leader in greens in regulation is off to an excellent start to ‘19-’20.

Corey hasn’t finished outside of the top twenty with a pair of T6’s in his last 5 tournaments played dating back to late-September. So, the form is there.

How about course history? Well, he has none. The 27-year-old will be one of the few debutants in the field this week in Maui.

I don’t mind it so much in this particular situation, though. I say this because the course has been under renovation since shortly after the tournament was played this time last year.

Historically a bombers paradise, Kapalua’s Plantation Course will still have incredibly wide fairways averaging nearly 60 yards but work has been done everywhere on the course to increase playability most notably increasing the speed of the fairways.

Jordan Spieth and the course record holder Ernie Els have each shot 30 or better under par here.

Does it really need to get any easier for these guys? Well, the course is incredibly long and resort guests were complaining about seemingly never-ending rounds.

As far as Corey Conners goes, I like the debutant status a little bit more here as everyone on the course will be adjusting to the new.

The winner of the 2019 Valero Texas Open, Conners, has some excellent value here.

He is leading the PGA Tour so far this season in shots gained off the tee, 6th in tee to green, and 14th in approach.

He struggles mightily with his putter but has still been able to consistently give himself plenty of opportunities to birdie.

Only Rahm has been better out of anyone in the field at greens in regulation in the past two months.

He has to putt the golf ball well, yes, but I really love Conners here.

The top ten bet is obviously the most likely to hit and pays better than 2 to 1, so that’s where I’m going but feel free to take him to finish inside the top 5.

The Bet
Conners Top Ten

Gary Woodland

  • To Win: +1600
  • Top Five: +275
  • Top Ten: +100

Last year’s Tournament of Champions runner-up doesn’t plan on letting Xander Schauffele come from behind in the final round to defeat him.

It’s hard to fight off a round of 11 under, though!

That’s what it took! Xander shot a 62 and Gary a 5 under par 68. -23 for the X-man and a losing end 22 under par for the former basketball star.

Woodland went on to win the US Open and has hit the ground running in the ‘19-’20 season thus far.

Gary finished 3rd at the CJ Cup, 5th at the Zozo, and 7th at the Hero World Challenge this fall and played well recently for the Team America win at the Presidents Cup.

4th in driving accuracy and 3rd in greens in regulation among golfers in the field over the previous 8 weeks is outstanding and another reason we cannot ignore the Kansas native in this spot.

My gut is telling me to push it here with a win bet. The (+275) for a top-five just doesn’t have the pop I want over the even money top ten wager.

Picking him to win here is not a bad idea, guys, but I want to win and the even money is great for a guy who has improved his score at every attempt here and was the runner-up 12 months ago.

The Bet
Woodland Top Ten

Rickie Fowler

  • To Win: +1600
  • Top Five: +240
  • Top Ten: -110

Rickie was 30th in driving distance, 13th in shots gained putting, and 14th in total shots gained over the course of the 2018-2019 season on the PGA Tour in what was still a lackluster season for the California native.

He is very aggressive with his play and as long as his drives don’t bounce off the fairway with the higher speed renovation, I think he can keep his scores this weekend on the low side.

The 31-year-old entering his golfing prime has only competed a couple of times this season.

One of those appearances was at the Presidents Cup where he was undefeated… kinda. 1-0-3! He didn’t lose. Every point counted too!

Rickie also made a December appearance at the Hero World Challenge where he impressively placed 9th in an out-stinkin-standing field behind Rahm, Reed, Tiger, JT, and more.

I’ll take the well-rested and hopefully measured “Pastel Pompadour” this week!

His finishes here have gotten better with each start. 6th, 5th, and 4th… Should we go top 5? To win? The course redesign has me hesitating.

Nearly even money at (-110) for a top ten is very reasonable.

The Bet
Fowler Top Ten

In Conclusion

The 2019-2020 PGA Tour season is well underway but this week will be the first tournament of the new decade.

The 20s, y’all! I like it! A new decade is very exciting in all aspects of our lives and it’s always nice to shed that old skin and take those steps you’ve been wanting to for a while now.

I’m sure some of the top golfers in this week’s field at the Sentry Tournament of Champions are doing everything in their power to be even better versions of themselves in 2020.

Of those golfers, I really like Gary Woodland this week.

He has a smooth confidence and a cold stare that reminds me of mixed martial arts competitors before they step inside the Octagon.

Rickie Fowler, conversely, loves to carry a smile on his babyface and apparently likes to make others smile as well with the bright colors he chooses for game day.

I think those two, along with Canadian up-and-comer Corey Conners, will perform at a high level this weekend.

Each is proven in the wind, drives the ball exceptionally well, and has top ten finishes in their previous outings.

Tune in, turn up, and bet hard!

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Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.