Aloha! PGA Tour fans and bettors alike are treated to not one but two tournaments from the 50th state.
Last week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua, we were treated to a 3-way playoff featuring the winner Justin Thomas, the red hot Patrick Reed, and the defending champion Xander Schauffele.
Our picks did pretty well. We juuust about broke even.
Cameron Champ didn’t have the day I was expecting out of him but outside of Cam, we were 3-1. Corey Conners flopped but Gary Woodland, Rickie Fowler, and Patrick Reed were all top ten winners.
Out of this group, only Reed and Conners will be in the field. I’m definitely looking at the American Reed because he continues to have what could potentially be the best season of his career on the PGA Tour.
Justin Thomas leads the way in the betting odds by a rather significant margin. For a top twenty finish, he is an absurd (-265) and the next golfer down the list is Webb Simpson at (-140).
Then it’s Reed and Hideki Matsuyama still with juice to pay but after those guys, it’s all plus money for a top twenty, which is nice.
My favorite youngster Sungjae Im is sitting at (+150) for a top twenty finish which, at least on the surface, appears to be a tremendous investment. He is from an island himself.
The Jeju native is making his return after a lights-out performance, albeit in what was eventually a losing effort for the International Team, at the Presidents Cup.
We will be looking at wind players very hard this week as 25-35 mph gusty conditions are expected from at least Thursday through Saturday.
Our betting lines this week are brought to us by the online sportsbook BetOnline.ag.
Let’s get to our betting odds and predictions for the PGA Tour’s Sony Open.
In his first go at Wai’alea Country Club, the Korean superkid shot 12 under par and finished at a very respectable 16th.
Well, it’s been a full year since and this guy has improved more than probably any golfer in the world.
Im can definitely win this thing and I believe his odds of (+150) are a steal.
Maturity will be key with the wind ramped up but Sungjae has time and time again showed he is plenty mature enough to play through any difficulties he may encounter on the PGA Tour.
Approach and putting will be key stats to remember.
It’s also a very narrow course and those who played the widest one on the Tour last week will have to make extra adjustments off the tee.
The youngster from South Korea can do it all, though, so throw him a few bucks and watch it come back to you.
This guy won the thing two years ago. I’m not entirely sure why he’s sitting near the bottom of the board at 7 to 1 just for a top twenty. He’s worth it, though.
Well, it being maybe 30 bucks to pay 240 sounds reasonable. If you lose, then that will fill up ¼ of your gas tank in your Honda Accord a week from now.
Last year, Patton managed a 13th place finish. He’s a pro too so if he entered the tournament, I’m fairly positive he feels like he can compete.
That’s all I really need to play 7 to 1 odds on a top twenty, especially for a former winner.
Juan Sebastian Munoz
Juan Sebastian doesn’t have much of a course history here and isn’t nearly as well known as the majority of golfers in the field this week at the Sony Open.
He did, though, finish inside the top ten at last year’s event.
Most all of the recent winners at the Sony also played the prior week at the Tournament of Champions in Maui. Well, this guy had a very respectable finish at 17th so he is on the radar.
His performance before that was a month prior but was 3rd. The man is playing well and coming off of his best year ever on Tour in 2019.
He loves the Bermudagrass surface we will have this week and broke the hearts of many including myself when he edged out the aforementioned Sungjae Im at the Sanderson Farms Championship to secure his first every PGA Tour victory.
Juan has also played very well on courses designated at Raynor originals. He has owned the Old White TPC. He’s got some solid value to sneak into the top twenty.
Two full weeks in Hawaii playing a game out in the gorgeous weather for hundreds of thousands of dollars?
Sign me up. Wait, I suck at golf. A couple of beers may relax me then if I have anymore, I just stop caring about my performance.
My usual over-competitive self reverts back to beta mode and just enjoys the camaraderie. Full disclosure, though, I was struck by a drive once and I’m good on playing golf for a while.
I would rather dodge punches and heel hooks than get hit with another drive from Brooks Koepka’s steroidal uncle.
This tourney should be a challenging one, though.
What is considered in good weather to be a birdie fest, one of the most narrow fairway’ed courses on the Tour has lunch with 30 mph gusts of wind and we have ourselves a little party.
Effective wind players like Patrick Reed and last year’s winner Matt Kuchar are pretty safe bets in this situation but today, I went with some longer odds including a previous winner in Patton Kizzire who is surprisingly 7 to 1 to finish inside the top twenty.
I wouldn’t try to get rich here but a wager of a few bucks is reasonable.
Elsewhere, Sungjae Im is a golfer I’m going to keep picking until he misses a few cuts in a row.
The young man connot be denied right now.
Enjoy the links during the seemingly neverending commercials of the NFL Playoff games.
Get those bets in now!