PGA Tour Betting Picks: The Players Championship

Gary Woodland, Golf Player - The Players Championship Logo

Yes, I know the Masters is coming…

I feel like the media pushes that so hard. I know I have been guilty of the same also but we have to remember that there are more than a handful of tournaments preceding the big one from Augusta in 2020.

We just had the Arnold Palmer Invitational where Tyrell Hatton held off our pick, Australia’s Marc Leishman to win at just 4 under par for the tournament.

It was nasty in Orlando. The wind was whipping up at about 25 MPH and the greens and fairways were speedy, to say the least.

Man, Marc Leishman is such a ninja playing in the wind! We took him to finish inside the top twenty which, of course, he did. As I’m trying not to regret picking him for a top 10 or 5 finish, I have to remind myself that I could have taken him as a winner.

If that would have been the case, it’s possible I would hate both him and winner Tyrell Hatton for eternity.

Hey, we have also had the privilege of seeing the Honda Classic, Pebble Beach, and Torrey Pines as well. It’s been a fun year this far!

Patrick Reed has shown quite the resurgence in his career in 2020 while the still 20 something Justin Thomas and Jon Rahm continue to improve their games to match the likes of Rory McIlroy who has been great himself.

The ever-surging Sungjae Im of South Korea just won his first of what appears to be many PGA Tour tournaments at the Honda. He almost won last week too!

The Sungjae top twenty finish is turning into one of the best bets in sports.

Last week, we experienced some of the most difficult playing conditions/courses that we will see all year. Bay Hill is a beast!

It’s not very often we see the top three golfers for the tournament all fail to shoot even par or better for the fourth round.

This week, we take the short ride down from Orlando to Palm Valley, Florida just east of Jacksonville for a visit to the famed Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass.

The only truth that has remained evident since golfers started playing competitively at Sawgrass is that no particular style has an advantage. The best golfer usually wins.

The course challenges players at every level and only the most patient, accurate, and precise golfers will have success.

The BetOnline.AGonline betting site BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us this week. Let’s get to our predictions for the 2020 Players Championship from TPC Sawgrass.

Bryson DeChambeau to Finish Inside the Top 20

Bryson “Slo-mo” Dechambeau is quietly crushing the PGA Tour as of late.

Honestly, I didn’t even realize how well he was playing until I just checked. The Californian with a knack for analytics is in the words of Dan Patrick “En fuego”!

Going all the way back to the Safeway Open last September, Brys has finishes of 13th, 4th, 15th, 8th, 5th, 2nd, and 4th in his previous 9 starts.

3 straight top 5’s! This is the best streak we have seen from Bryson in recent memory.

Despite the recent form, we have to turn back the clock to January of 2019 to find the last time Bryson Dechambeau has won a PGA Tour event.

You know the Hogan hat-wearing star will be hungry for a victory.

One stat that really jumped off the page to me for the putting specialist was his off-the-tee numbers over the past 8 weeks.

Over the past two months, there isn’t one golfer in this week’s field that has a better shots-gained average off the tee than “Slo-mo”. That’s scary, really.

Someone who putts as well as Bryson does has no business playing so well out of the tee box.

That’s enough to put fear or at least concern into the heart of such dominant golfers like Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and Jon Rahm.

Conditions have been dry in Florida this Spring. We saw firm and fast conditions at the Honda Classic as well as the Arnold Palmer Invitational. I would expect more of the same this week at the beach.

The wind is expected to calm down but the firm and fast greens only play into the steady hands of a golfer so adept at swinging the flat stick.

How About Course History, Though?

Well, Dechambeau has only played here twice. We can say that his score improved significantly in his second performance. 37th his first time around and in his most recent outing at Sawgrass, Bryson snagged 20th.

I expect an even better performance from the brainiac. Let’s hope he doesn’t overthink it and continues his tremendous play.

The Bet
DeChambeau Top 20
+125

Gary Woodland to Finish Inside the Top 20

More plus money?! I’ll take it!

Gary Woodland isn’t exactly playing at the level of the previously mentioned DeChambeau but he hasn’t been too bad either.

The former hoops star has had an excellent season so far. Going back to the CJ Cup in mid-October, Gary has finishes of 3rd, 5th, 7th, 7th, 12th, and 8th, in his previous 8 starts.

I love his all-around game and laser-focused demeanor and mindset he brings to the golf course. Gary is consistently very good. Like Dechambeau, Woodland is also due for a win.

We have to go back to the 2019 US Open to see the Kansas Jayhawk’s name at the top of the final leaderboard.

He loves Bermudagrass as well having placed inside the top ten in his previous two appearances in tournaments featuring that surface.

He hasn’t exactly dominated Sawgrass in the past and that’s why we are getting such a good number for him.

I don’t want course history to override course fit and current form in this situation. Give Gary some love to snag a top twenty performance.

The Bet
Woodland Top 20
+225

Webb Simpson to Finish Inside the Top 20

Is this real life? Are we really getting a former winner here who has a 1st and a 3rd place finish in his previous 3 starts at plus money? I think we are.

I like Webb Simpson too.

He is one of the very best and most dangerous golfers on the PGA Tour. When he is on, there are barely a handful of golfers in the world today who can hang with him.

The last couple of weeks have been tough on golfers with back-to-back tests at the Honda Classic and especially at Bay Hill where the wind was whipping up around 30 MPH for four days.

These were testy conditions and common sense leads us to believe that said conditions lead to nerves being raised enough to tax a golfer’s system for a week or two.

Well, Webb has taken the past couple of weeks off and probably been practicing more than others at TPC Sawgrass. Simpson has picked and chosen his spots to shine this year and it’s worked out.

I believe The Players will be a good showing for the Carolina-native.

The Bet
Simpson Top 20
+150

In Conclusion

There we go, guys!

I didn’t stray too far down the betting board to find us some value.

Normally I have to but with a field of golfers this week thicker than a Snicker, we found some plus money for top twenty bets on 3 of the best in the world.

Bryson DeChambeau is just set up for a win here on so many levels. I thought the value was good with him at (+125) until I saw Gary “Hard” Woodland at more than 2 to 1!

Both golfers are due for a celebratory Sunday sip of somethin’ special in the clubhouse.

This could be the week. I’ll be happy with top twenty performances from each guy.

We have won 4 out of our last 6 and I, of course, want to stay above the .500 mark. That’s where those two as well as Webb Simpson, who is also at plus money, come in.

I have confidence in all three men playing some solid golf this week with respectable finishes at the Players Championship.

Tune in, turn up, and bet hard straight from this article!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.