PGA Tour Betting Picks: Workday Charity Open

Hey, big Bryson actually did it this past week.

I use the word “actually” quite loosely because he has been playing great so an eventual win wasn’t out of the question but his style of play just changed so much over the break.

The once over-calculating “Slo-mo” DeChambeau was once an accurate driver and striker of the golf ball with an outstanding putting game.

Over the lockdown break, which was only a few months, Bryson packed on a good 30 pounds of muscle. Steroids, ehem, cough… Eh, who cares. Golf is a game of finesse, right?

The guy is regularly driving the ball 400+ yards and his grandmother’s house isn’t even being foreclosed on.

Shoutout to the GOAT, Happy Gilmore, and, of course, the one and only Chubbster. Finishes of 3rd, 8th, and 6th in his three previous starts post-lockdown told us this was coming.

I was on him to win the previous week. I hate that we missed it by a week but it makes sense. The field at the Rocket Mortgage Classic was not as strong as we had seen in the couple of tournaments before it.

Big B will be taking this week off to gain another 5-10 pounds of muscle, presumably.

The original Big Poppa Pump will be in action, though, and it appears it may be time for him to return to winning form once again this week.

Brooks Koepka, who has been outspoken against Bryson’s slow game, recently praised the big man on his new and improved power game.

I am looking forward to these two hopefully getting paired up at the US Open and the Masters!

We are playing at Muirfield Village this week in Dublin, Ohio. This is a classical course that rewards accurate drives, clean ball striking, and Bent/Poa putting prowess. It also played quite difficult last year ranking 13th out of the 50 courses.

This course is normally the site of The Memorial. Well, it still is. They will play the Memorial here next week with more difficult tee boxes and hole locations. Same course but a little bit easier design for this week.

They were set to play in Illinois this week but the state prohibits more than 50 people gathering in one place so that was a no-go.

The online sportsbook BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us. Let’s make some solid picks this week to place and maybe to win.

Top 10

Patrick Cantlay: +150

If there was ever a golf course that is perfectly designed for Patrick Cantlay, Muirfield Village is it.

The young man from the home of Snoop Dogg is back and ready to get another win under his designer belt.

His first week back was at the Travelers at the end of June and he finished a very respectable 11th against a field of golfers who mostly had already played one rust-removing tournament since the lengthy lay off.

His final round 5 under par was bested only by one stroke on Sunday.

Patrick is just on the cusp of solidifying himself as a top ten golfer in the world. The 27-year-old is primed and I expect a stellar year from the young man from Long Beach.

After finishing 35th here in his first appearance back in 2017, Pat came in 4th place in ‘18 and won the darn thing last year.

He has shown continual improvement at this course and I foresee more improvement on his game as the weeks go by this Summer. He might not be dialed in for the victory this week but (+150) is pretty solid for a top ten.

You are going to have to lay (-150) for a top twenty finish. The field does have some monsters this week but I still think Cantlay contends for the win.

Top 20

Jordan Spieth: +225

I’m not sure why Jordan is getting the love in this spot.

He was 7th here a year ago and has finishes of 19th and 13th as well as a 3rd place finish in 2015. That’s four top 20 finishes in 7 appearances.

The former phenom has expressed his enjoyment when playing Muirfield Village.

He loves the creative aspect of the putting greens and compares them to some of the fastest on the PGA Tour including Augusta National.

I love the course history and course fit for a top 20 especially at more than 2 to 1. His form, though.

In the first week back from quarantine, Spieth looked incredible at the Charles Schwab Challenge finishing 10th behind some of the world’s best including Schauffele, Rose, DeChambeau, Woodland, and the winner, Daniel Berger.

His next couple of outings, though, were trash. He made the cut in each tournament but that was about it with finishes of 54th and 68th.

After a seemingly much needed week off, though, the somehow still 26-year-old Spieth seems ready for a solid outing. Even if his game off the tee isn’t the best, I love him on second shot golf courses and that plays into his putting prowess.

I think he is about 50/50 for a top 20 and with his odds at (+225), we have to make the play.

To Win

Justin Thomas: +1200

Why not, right? Let’s throw a winner in there.

If you’re going to pick anyone to win this week, why not go with the favorite, right? Value is value. I get it, but there is a reason JT is atop the betting board.

Punting and making stabs at golfers who are 30, 40, 50 to 1 or more is fun, I guess…when you win. Are you really putting up enough money each week to make that seldom win worth your while, though? Probably not.

Justin Thomas returned after the extended break with two excellent performances of 10th and 8th before missing the cut two weeks ago at the Travelers.

After a week off and a return to a familiar course in Ohio, JT is primed for his first win since Jan 5th at the Tournament of Champions in Hawaii.

I mentioned that the course was designed for a guy like Cantlay but we can say the same thing about Thomas as well.

His finishes of 4th and 8th here in ‘17 and ‘18 tell us he is more than capable of celebrating with the trophy in the clubhouse on Sunday.

The Picks
Thomas to Win
+1200
Spieth Top 20
+225
Cantlay Top 10
+150

In Conclusion

This week is just a warm-up. Or is it?

The PGA Tour is settling in Dublin, Ohio that is for the next couple of weeks.

We couldn’t play in Illinois due to COVID restrictions so Muirfield Village it is for this week’s Workday Charity Open and, of course, next week’s Memorial.

The course is a tough one but this week’s tee boxes and hole locales should lend themselves to lower scores.

I like the well-rounded, ball-striking, and solid Bent/Poa putting golfers to play well this week.

Patience and precision will be paramount and that’s why I love guys like Patrick Cantlay and Justin Thomas who don’t have any glaring weaknesses to their respective golf games.

Jordan Spieth has some very good history here and has expressed how much he enjoys playing Muirfield Village. Those two factors along with his all-world putting have me banking on Jordan to snag a top twenty.

Get your bets in now and next week should be even better once we have a better read on how golfers are playing the course in 2020.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.