gravatar

DraftKings Farmers Insurance Open Sleeper Picks

Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings PGA Sleeper Picks for The Farmers Insurance Open. Like last week, this tournament consists of multiple courses with players playing on The North and South course at Torrey Pines in San Diego, California. All the players will play on each course for the first two rounds before the cut, then will play on The South Course Saturday and Sunday, if they make it to the weekend. The North course isn’t a very difficult course, but just recently got redesigned. The South Course is a very tough track that is looked at as one of the toughest non major courses on The Tour. They are both par 72 with The North measuring in at 7,258 yards and The South at 7,698 yards. Brandt Snedeker is the defending champ shooting -6 last year, with the average winning score being -8 over the last three years. It was very ugly weather last year and I would expect the winning score to be closer to -10 this time around.

These are some very difficult fairways to hit on The South course, so being long off the tee can be a big advantage with most players hitting out of the rough. There are also four par fives on The South course and these holes will be the best chances these golfers will have to score when playing The South. Shorter and accurate players can succeed here, especially on The North course, but I just think it’s a good week to attack bombers with three rounds being held at The South Course. So this week the stats I will be focusing on are strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, birdie or better percentage, par five scoring, bogey avoidance, and driving distance. After some weaker fields to start the season we finally get a field full of talent and big name players. This is the perfect time to fully dive back into DFS golf with this strong field in a normal cut event. Also if you are looking for some more DraftKings PGA picks, check out Geoff’s article through this link. Good luck this week and as always if any of these picks help your lineup or if you need any advice let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.

If you want help with PGA research for DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com

Trey Mullinax: (6,400) Mullinax has now made two straight cuts to start the new year, finishing T57th at The Sony Open, and T50th at The CareerBuilder Challenge last week. The 24 year old out of Alabama has been a player I have been watching since The Fall, and his elite distance and great putting always make him an intriguing option. He has the exact skill set I want to target this week; ranking 7th in driving distance (311 yards), 42nd in strokes gained putting, 57 in birdie or better percentage, 25th in birdie or better on par fives, and 75th overall on par five scoring.

He is a very young player and this is first full time season on The Tour, so he is obviously a risky pick, as he has never competed in a Farmers Open before. But he is coming into this event in solid form and just has too perfect of a skill set for me to ignore this week. Mullinax is not a recommended cash game play, but I think he is great GPP target, that should come with a very low ownership. (0-1% VIA Fantasy Labs)

Adam Hadwin: (6,200) Hadwin might be the best value of the week at $6,200. He was on fire last week shooting a 59 on day three, finishing 2nd at The CareerBuilder Challenge, and has made four consecutive cuts when including the three tournaments that he competed in the fall. Not only is he in great form, but he has made back to back cuts here, with a T32 in 2015 and T63 last year. He also is technically 3/3 in made cuts here if he didn’t withdraw in 2013, with an apparent “injury” after being in 9th place going into the final round.

He has been impressive so far this year on The Tour, ranking 84th strokes gained tee to green, 19th in strokes gained putting, 56th in GIR percentage (73.7%), 13th in birdie or better percentage, 28th in par five scoring, and 16th in par five birdie or better. He isn’t the longest hitter, but he has solid distance off the tee with an average drive of 292 yards in 2017. In this current form, with his course history, Hadwin is one of my favorite plays of the week at a cheap $6,200.

Robert Streb: (6,900) Streb has a great track record here at The Farmers, making 2/3 cuts, with a T19 in 2014, and a T18 in 2016. He is coming off a decent T49th finish at The Sony Open, and has now made four straight cuts. His stats really line up for another good finish here, ranking 44th in strokes gained tee to green, 59th in driving distance (294 yards), 78th in GIR percentage (66.2%), 81st in bogey avoidance, and 100th in par five scoring. He will always compete with his impressive distance and iron play,  It is just a matter of how he rolls it on the greens. He has always been a streaky putter, but has been better to start this season ranking 84th in strokes gained putting compared his 173rd rank last year.

If he continues to putt like he has to start the season, he has great upside this week. Streb used to be a popular name in DFS golf, but took a back seat last season, only making 10/26 cuts compared to his very successful 2015 season, where he made 25/30 cuts. The talent is clearly there and I think he is going to have a nice bounce back season. He has proven that he is a threat here at Torrey Pines, and at $6,900, with a low projected ownership of 2-4% (VIA FantasyLabs), I think he is a definitely a player that should be considered if making multiple lineups this week.

Also Consider: Martin Laird (terrific current form, back to back top tens here, may be highly owned but, is a strong cash game play this week), Ollie Schniederjans, Ryan Blaum, John Huh (let me down last week, but is 4/5 here, with a T8 last season), Lucas Glover, Michael Kim, Chad Campbell, Richy Werenski, and Grayson Murray (can really smack it off the tee, 12th last week at The CareerBuilder, and 8th back at The Sanderson Farms).