What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings PGA Sleeper Picks for The 2017 Quicken Loans National. Before we get in to this week’s event, I want to quickly recap my picks for The Travelers this past weekend. I had very successful week with all three of my main sleepers getting through the cut. Adam Hadwin and Chez Reavie had decent weeks, finishing T57th and T43rd respectively, but it was Webb Simpson who was the best of the bunch, finishing with a T8. Now onto The Quickens Loan National, which will be held at TPC Potomac which is a 7,107 yard par 70 located in Potomac, Maryland. This is the first time this recently renovated course has hosted a PGA Tour event , so we really have minimal course history, besides a small group of players who competed here in 2012 or 2013, when they were still competing on The Web.com Tour.
We are going into this tournament without any prior stats of the track, but we do have some valuable info, courtesy of Johns Ross on Twitter. On Monday night, he posted a breakdown of how he believes the course plays from his two year experience of caddying at TPC Potomac. You can check it out through this link, but the most important things he pointed out were that the course favors accurate players off the tee and that approaching the green is important to find the right spots on these “tricky greens”. After reading this I am going to focus mostly on recent form, driving accuracy, strokes gained approaching the green, greens in regulation percentage, along with par four scoring which is an essential stat for all par 70s. Accuracy is obviously important, but this shouldn’t make you eliminate players who don’t rank perfectly in this stat because it sounds like most players will be clubbing down, which naturally almost always improves any players accuracy off the tee.
Also, it is worth noting that The Quicken Loans is only a 120 player field with a normal cut line, which means a higher percentage of the players will be making it to the weekend than we are accustomed to. This makes it sound like a great week for DFS golf, but unlike the past two tournaments, this week we are getting a very weak field of players to attack. With this kind of field of players and a course we really don’t know much about, I believe it is a better week to scale back how much of your bank roll you use. So good luck to everyone and as always if you any of these picks help you or if you have any questions, just let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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Kevin Streelman: (7,400) Streelman has been excellent in his past three starts, posting a T18 at The Dean & Deluca, T13 at The Memorial, and a T8 at The Travelers last week, that was capped off by a very impressive 64 on Sunday. He had been struggling with his putting for most of the season, ranking 145th in strokes gained putting, but he has been terrific on the greens in these last three events, gaining a very impressive 3.915 strokes putting total for these past three finishes.
Putting is a hard thing to predict, but if Streelman can remain hot with his flat stick, he should do just fine here with the rest of his game that seems ideal for TPC Potomac. He currently ranks 76th in GIR percentage, 77th in strokes gained approaching the green, 48th in driving accuracy, 41stin par four scoring, and 97th in birdie or better percentage. When considering current form, Streelman should absolutely be priced higher in this weak field and is a player who may get overlooked in this price range. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
Nick Taylor: (6,700) Before his missed cut last week at The Travelers, Taylor had made seven straights cuts with two top 25s and two top tens. Most people will look at his log and see a missed cut in his last start and think he is in bad form, but realistically we need to forget this bad showing, as TPC River Highlands is obviously not a course he isn’t fond of, missing the cut three out of four times at this venue. Now as most players in field, Taylor has no course history here at TPC Potomac in his favor, but I think his balanced game should help him bounce back this week.
On the year he ranks 51st in strokes gained tee to green, 80th in strokes gained approaching, GIR percentage (66%), 94th in par four scoring, and 117th in birdie or better percentage. He isn’t the most accurate player off the tee, but he has much been better in his last two starts, averaging a 67.5% driving accuracy percentage compared to his 60.18% season average. There clearly is some risk here with Taylor, but in GPPs, he is worth a flier with the hope he gets back to being the consistent cut maker he has been all season.
Kevin Na: (7,400) He has been a difficult player to predict for most of the year, but Na he has started to look like his old self recently, making two of his last three cuts, including a T32 at The U.S. Open. One of his biggest downfalls this year has been his accuracy with his tee shots (111th in DA%), but he has improved in his last four starts, with a 67.25% driving accuracy percentage, which is a significant difference from the 58.3% rate he was averaging in his previous six tournaments.
Assuming he can continue with this better accuracy, Na should be a really nice fit for this new course, ranking 54th in strokes gained tee to green, 35th in strokes gained approaching the green, 111th in GIR percentage (65.23%), 14th in par four scoring, and 42nd in birdie or better percentage. His excellent par four scoring always gives him an edge on par 70s and Na at only $7,400 is one of the better values of the week.
Also Consider: Si Woo Kim, Nick Watney, Charles Howell III, Smylie Kaufman, Wesley Bryan, Adam Hadwin (great price for him in this field), Grayson Murray, Jim Herman, and Matt Jones.